Are Women Voters Crucial in NDA's Lead for Bihar Polls?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Women voters are pivotal in the Bihar elections.
- The NDA is anticipated to win a majority of seats.
- Good governance and job creation are crucial issues.
- The Mahagathbandhan faces challenges with its messaging.
- Jan Suraaj's initial hype has diminished.
New Delhi, Nov 11 (NationPress) Manoj Kumar Singh, the Director of Matrize News Communications, emphasized that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is decisively ahead in the upcoming Bihar assembly elections of 2025. This lead is largely credited to the substantial support from female voters for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, alongside the NDA's commitment to good governance and job creation.
In an exclusive interview with IANS on November 11, Singh remarked, "This election cycle has spotlighted effective governance and employment opportunities, with women appearing to rally strongly behind the NDA. They are showing unwavering support for Nitish Kumar."
Singh pointed out that the initial excitement around Jan Suraaj has dwindled as its supporters transitioned back to the NDA, leading to minimal vote loss without impacting the coalition’s overall strength.
On the other hand, the Mahagathbandhan encountered challenges due to inconsistent messaging and a subdued role from Rahul Gandhi.
"The Grand Alliance shifted focus from the SIR issue to employment, which diluted their narrative. Rahul Gandhi’s low-key presence has adversely affected their campaign," Singh noted.
Singh emphasized the NDA's consolidation among female voters, revealing a poll showing 65 percent support from women, compared to 27 percent for the MGB.
The Matrize exit poll, conducted from November 6 to 11, surveyed 66,087 respondents through field surveys and CATI methods, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent, predicts that the NDA will secure between 147 to 167 seats with a 48 percent vote share.
The Mahagathbandhan is projected to secure 70 to 90 seats with 37 percent of the votes, while Jan Suraaj, despite initial enthusiasm, is expected to stabilize at 5 percent of the vote but only 0 to 2 seats.
AIMIM is anticipated to win 2 to 3 seats with 1 percent support, while others are collectively expected to achieve 9 percent for 0 to 5 seats.
Among male voters, the NDA leads with 52 percent to 36 percent. Regionally, the alliance has a stronghold in Angika (47.9 percent), Bhojpur (48.4 percent), Magadh (48.8 percent), and Mithilanchal (47.7 percent), while the MGB is slightly ahead in Seemanchal at 49.9 percent.