Are Women Voters Crucial for NDA’s Lead in Bihar Polls?
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Synopsis
In the race for the Bihar assembly elections 2025, women voters have emerged as a pivotal force for the NDA, according to pollster Manoj Kumar Singh. His insights shed light on the political dynamics and voter sentiments that are shaping this significant electoral battle.
Key Takeaways
- Women voters are pivotal in the NDA's success.
- The NDA's focus on good governance is resonating.
- Job creation remains a critical theme in campaigns.
- The Mahagathbandhan's narrative inconsistency is a major setback.
- Jan Suraaj's initial buzz has significantly declined.
New Delhi, Nov 11 (NationPress) Manoj Kumar Singh, the Director of Matrize News Communications, announced that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is clearly leading in the Bihar assembly elections 2025. This lead is primarily attributed to strong women voter support for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, alongside effective governance and job creation.
In an exclusive interview with IANS on November 11, Singh stated, "This election cycle emphasized good governance and the need for employment opportunities. Women voters appear to be significantly backing the NDA this time, fully supporting Nitish Kumar."
Singh pointed out that the initial enthusiasm around Jan Suraaj diminished as its supporters reverted to the NDA, resulting in minor vote losses that did not affect the coalition's momentum.
Conversely, the Mahagathbandhan struggled due to inconsistent narratives and a subdued presence from Rahul Gandhi.
"The Grand Alliance shifted focus from the SIR issue to employment, and Rahul Gandhi's limited visibility negatively impacted their campaign," Singh remarked.
Singh emphasized the NDA's consolidation of female voters, indicating that the poll revealed a remarkable 65 percent female support for the NDA versus 27 percent for the MGB.
The Matrize exit poll, carried out from November 6 to 11 with 66,087 respondents through field surveys and CATI methods, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent. It forecasts the NDA winning 147 to 167 seats with a 48 percent vote share.
The Mahagathbandhan is predicted to secure 70 to 90 seats with 37 percent of the votes, while Jan Suraaj, after initial hype, stabilizes at 5 percent votes but is projected to win only 0 to 2 seats.
AIMIM is expected to capture 2 to 3 seats with 1 percent, while others may collectively achieve 9 percent for 0 to 5 seats.
Among male voters, the NDA leads with 52 percent compared to 36 percent. Regionally, the alliance shows strength in Angika (47.9 percent), Bhojpur (48.4 percent), Magadh (48.8 percent), and Mithilanchal (47.7 percent), while the MGB is slightly ahead in Seemanchal at 49.9 percent.
Point of View
It is essential to recognize the significant influence of women voters in shaping electoral outcomes. The NDA's focus on governance and employment resonates well with this demographic, reinforcing the importance of addressing women's issues in political discourse. As the elections approach, understanding these dynamics will be crucial for all political entities.
NationPress
11/11/2025
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the projected seat count for NDA in Bihar elections?
The NDA is projected to secure between 147 to 167 seats in the Bihar assembly elections 2025.
How much support do women voters give to the NDA?
Women voters have shown overwhelming support for the NDA, with a remarkable 65 percent backing.
What factors contributed to NDA's lead according to the pollster?
The NDA's lead is attributed to strong women voter support, effective governance, and job creation efforts.
How did Jan Suraaj perform in the polls?
Jan Suraaj, despite initial hype, stabilized at 5 percent of votes and is projected to win only 0 to 2 seats.
What issues caused the Mahagathbandhan to falter?
The Mahagathbandhan struggled due to narrative inconsistencies and a lack of impactful presence from Rahul Gandhi.
