Gold, silver prices drop over 1% on MCX as US rate hike fears mount

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Gold, silver prices drop over 1% on MCX as US rate hike fears mount

Synopsis

Gold and silver took a sharp hit on the MCX on 20 May, with silver down over 1.2% intraday, as rising US inflation fears stoked rate-hike speculation and erased recent gains. A Trump warning on Iran, Strait of Hormuz disruptions, and fading AI-driven silver demand have combined to create a rare multi-front selloff in precious metals.

Key Takeaways

MCX gold futures hit an intraday low of ₹1,57,959 on 20 May , down up to 0.7 per cent or ₹1,121 .
MCX silver futures slipped as much as 1.21 per cent or ₹3,269 to ₹2,66,850 intraday.
COMEX gold fell 0.49 per cent to $4,462 per ounce ; COMEX silver slipped 0.17 per cent to $73.868 per ounce .
Rising US inflation concerns have reduced Fed rate-cut expectations and raised speculation of rate hikes, pressuring both metals.
President Trump's Iran strike warning and Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions are amplifying global inflationary pressures.
Silver's recent rally — driven by AI and data-centre demand optimism — has largely been reversed.

Gold and silver prices fell sharply on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) on Wednesday, 20 May, with both precious metals sliding over 1 per cent as investors grew increasingly anxious about rising US inflation and the prospect of higher Federal Reserve interest rates. The selloff extended to international markets, where COMEX benchmarks also traded in the red.

MCX Price Movement

Gold futures (June 5) on the MCX hit an intraday low of ₹1,57,959, declining as much as 0.7 per cent or ₹1,121. At the time of reporting, the yellow metal was trading at ₹1,58,369, down 0.45 per cent or ₹711. It had briefly touched an intraday high of ₹1,60,378, up 0.81 per cent or ₹1,298, before reversing course.

Silver futures (July 3) fared worse, slipping 1.21 per cent or ₹3,269 to an intraday low of ₹2,66,850. The white metal was last seen trading at ₹2,68,970, down 0.43 per cent or ₹1,149. Both metals opened the session at ₹1,58,974 (gold) and ₹2,67,230 (silver) on the MCX.

Global Markets Follow Suit

The domestic weakness mirrored pressure in international markets. COMEX gold declined 0.49 per cent to $4,462 per ounce, while COMEX silver slipped 0.17 per cent to $73.868 per ounce. Commodity market experts noted that the dual pressure of inflation risk and rate uncertainty has weighed on both metals simultaneously — a pattern that has emerged with increasing frequency this year.

Why Prices Are Under Pressure

According to commodity market analysts, the primary driver is a reassessment of US Federal Reserve policy. Rising inflation concerns have significantly reduced expectations of rate cuts, while speculation around possible rate hikes later in the year has grown. Higher interest rates typically increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold and silver, making them less attractive to investors.

Geopolitical risk added another layer of complexity. US President Donald Trump warned that Washington could resume strikes on Iran within 'two or three days' if Tehran failed to accept peace terms. The ongoing conflict has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude oil prices higher and intensifying global inflationary pressures — a dynamic that, paradoxically, would ordinarily support gold as a safe haven but is being offset by the dominant rate-hike narrative.

Silver's Additional Headwinds

For silver, the decline also reversed a recent run-up that had been supported by optimism around AI-linked stocks and rising demand from data-centre infrastructure expansion. Analysts noted that as that tailwind fades amid broader risk-off sentiment, silver has lost a key near-term catalyst. This makes it more vulnerable to macro rate pressures than gold in the current environment.

Broader Market Context

Domestic equity markets also opened lower on Wednesday, with both the Sensex and Nifty trading in negative territory during early trade, reflecting a broad risk-averse mood among investors. How US inflation data and Fed signals evolve in the coming sessions will likely determine whether gold and silver find support or extend their losses.

Point of View

And it is now the first to unwind when macro sentiment sours. With the Fed signalling no near-term pivot and Trump's Iran posture adding oil-price risk, the inflationary squeeze could tighten further — yet paradoxically continue to weigh on metals rather than lift them, as rate expectations dominate safe-haven demand.
NationPress
8 Jul 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did gold and silver prices fall on 20 May 2025?
Gold and silver fell on 20 May primarily because rising US inflation concerns have reduced expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased speculation around possible rate hikes. Higher interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold and silver less attractive to investors.
What were MCX gold and silver prices on 20 May?
MCX gold futures hit an intraday low of ₹1,57,959, down up to 0.7 per cent, while MCX silver futures fell as much as 1.21 per cent to an intraday low of ₹2,66,850 on 20 May.
How did global gold and silver prices move on the same day?
COMEX gold declined 0.49 per cent to $4,462 per ounce, and COMEX silver slipped 0.17 per cent to $73.868 per ounce, confirming that the selloff was not limited to domestic markets.
How does the Iran situation affect gold prices?
President Trump's warning of possible strikes on Iran within 'two or three days' has disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing crude oil prices higher. This intensifies global inflationary pressures, which in turn reinforces the case for higher US interest rates — a headwind for gold despite its traditional safe-haven status.
Why is silver falling more than gold?
Silver has the added burden of unwinding a recent rally that was driven by optimism around AI-linked stocks and data-centre infrastructure demand. As that catalyst fades amid broader risk-off sentiment, silver is losing a key support pillar, making it more sensitive to macro rate pressures than gold in the current environment.
Nation Press
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