IIT Mandi launches Himalayan landslide early warning system for monsoon season
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Scientists at the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Mandi have developed a fully operational Landslide Early Warning System (LEWS) for the Indian Himalayan Region (IHR), capable of issuing daily landslide risk forecasts during the monsoon season through a web-based platform, the institute announced on Wednesday, 8 July. The system is designed to strengthen disaster preparedness across one of India's most geologically vulnerable zones.
Why the Himalayas Need This Now
The Indian Himalayan Region ranks among the country's most landslide-prone areas, and shifting climate patterns have accelerated the frequency of slope failures in recent years, resulting in significant loss of life and property. Unlike several existing warning systems that cover only limited geographical pockets, the IIT Mandi platform spans the entire Himalayan belt — making it one of the most extensive operational landslide forecasting systems in India to date.
How the System Works
The LEWS combines terrain susceptibility data with real-time rainfall information to forecast and monitor landslide probability. It then issues location-specific alerts to help authorities and disaster management agencies act before a slope failure occurs. The system analyses rainfall recorded over the previous 15 days dynamically, since rainfall patterns shift continuously during the monsoon.
The research team developed the system through a multi-stage methodology. They first identified nearly 26,000 historical landslides from the Geological Survey of India (GSI) database to construct a landslide susceptibility map, integrating multiple triggering factors using ensemble machine learning models. They also built the Probability of Rainfall-Induced Landslides (P-RIL) model using data from NASA's Global Landslide Catalogue and seven rainfall parameters sourced from IMERG satellite datasets.
What the Lead Researcher Said
The project was led by Prof. Dericks Praise Shukla from the School of Civil and Environmental Engineering at IIT Mandi, alongside research scholars Ankit Singh and Nitesh Dhiman. Prof. Shukla said the system 'provides daily landslide forecasts through a web-based application from the beginning of the monsoon season, helping identify high-risk areas in advance and enabling authorities and communities to undertake timely evacuation and preparedness measures.'
He added that satellite-based early warning systems are 'among the most effective investments in disaster risk reduction' as they convert scientific data into timely, actionable information. According to him, a region-wide forecasting platform has the potential to strengthen preparedness, improve emergency response, and enhance coordination among disaster management agencies during periods of elevated landslide risk.
What Comes Next
The web-based platform is already operational, with daily forecasts available through the monsoon season. The system's region-wide coverage positions it as a potential backbone for national-level landslide risk coordination, particularly as the Centre scales up its disaster resilience infrastructure ahead of increasingly erratic monsoon cycles.