India aviation demand outpaces capacity growth: Ram Mohan Naidu
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India's aviation market is expanding faster than airlines can add seats, Union Civil Aviation Minister Ram Mohan Naidu said on Tuesday, 29 September 2026, pointing to a structural capacity gap that the government is racing to close through an aggressive airport expansion drive.
The Demand-Capacity Gap
Addressing an industry event in New Delhi, Naidu cited data showing that revenue passenger kilometres (RPKs) in India have grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.3% over the past decade, against a 7% CAGR in available seat kilometres (ASKs) offered by carriers. 'This means the market is growing faster than the seats,' the minister said, flagging the urgency of scaling up both infrastructure and airline capacity. Even a seemingly narrow 0.3 percentage-point gap, compounded over a decade, represents a substantial and widening shortfall between supply and demand.
India's Aviation Ambitions
India has already established itself as the world's third-largest domestic aviation market, propelled by rising household incomes, expanding regional connectivity, and structurally higher demand for air travel. The government's stated aim is to consolidate and extend that rank to become the third-largest aviation market globally — covering both domestic and international traffic — in the years ahead. Naidu positioned the country's recent hosting of high-profile aviation events as evidence of growing international standing, citing the ICAO Asia-Pacific Ministerial Conference, a BRICS Summit aviation segment, and the IATA 81st Annual General Body Meeting as milestones.
Airport Expansion at Scale
To bridge the capacity gap, the government is pursuing what Naidu described as an ambitious airport development programme. Operational airports in the country have more than doubled — from 74 in 2014 to more than 166 currently. A further 66 airports are presently under active development, and an additional 100 airports are planned over the next decade. The long-term target is an operational network of 400 airports by 2047, which would represent one of the largest civil aviation infrastructure builds anywhere in the world.
Routes Asia 2027 Coming to India
In a boost to India's aviation diplomacy, Naidu announced that Routes Asia 2027 — one of the global aviation industry's premier route development and networking events — will be held in India from 16 to 18 March 2027. The minister said the event would directly support both regional and international air connectivity goals. 'Connectivity is very, very important,' Naidu said, adding that Routes Asia 2027 'is going to give a good boost for our regional connectivity and also international connectivity.'
What Comes Next
With 66 airports under construction and a pipeline of 100 more in planning, the pace of execution will be closely watched by airlines and investors. Analysts note that airport capacity alone is insufficient — airline fleet additions, slot allocation, and route economics must align for the demand-supply gap to close meaningfully. The Routes Asia 2027 event in March 2027 is expected to catalyse new international route announcements into and out of India.