India ranks among top 10 economies in retail inflation control: Assocham

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India ranks among top 10 economies in retail inflation control: Assocham

Synopsis

India's retail inflation rose by just 0.3 percentage points between February and April 2026 — compared to 1.4 points in the US — putting it among the steadiest of the world's top 10 economies, according to Assocham. The chamber is now pressing the RBI to hold rates steady in June and deploy ₹1 lakh crore in MSME liquidity support before energy-price pressures intensify.

Key Takeaways

India's retail inflation rose from 3.2% in February to 3.5% in April 2026, a 0.3 percentage-point increase — among the smallest in the top 10 economies.
The US saw inflation jump 1.4 percentage points over the same period, from 2.4% to 3.8% .
Assocham has urged the RBI to keep the repo rate unchanged at its June 2026 monetary policy review.
The chamber proposed an 'On-Tap LTRO' scheme offering ₹1 lakh crore in liquidity at the repo rate for banks and NBFCs lending to MSMEs.
A 2% interest subsidy on working capital loans up to ₹5 crore is proposed for export-oriented MSMEs in MENA and EU markets.
Assocham also called for a six-month loan moratorium for energy-intensive MSMEs to cushion rising input costs.

India is better positioned than most of the world's top 10 economies in managing retail inflation, according to an analysis released by the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (Assocham) on 22 May 2026. The industry body has urged the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to hold the repo rate steady at its upcoming monetary policy review while rolling out targeted liquidity, interest subvention, and moratorium support for stressed sectors.

India's Inflation Performance vs Global Peers

India's retail inflation stood at 3.2% in February 2026 and edged up to 3.5% in April 2026 — a rise of 0.3 percentage points. By contrast, the United States saw inflation climb from 2.4% in February to 3.8% in April, a jump of 1.4 percentage points. France, Italy, and Germany each recorded inflation increases of more than 1 percentage point over the same period. India also outperformed Brazil on this metric, according to the Assocham analysis.

What Assocham Is Recommending for the RBI

Nirmal K Minda, President of Assocham, called on the RBI to maintain a status quo on the repo rate at its forthcoming policy review in the first week of June 2026. 'As India's headline inflation still prevails in the benign conditions, we suggest RBI to maintain a status quo on repo rate in the forthcoming review of RBI monetary policy in the 1st week of June 2026,' Minda said. He added that while some further uptick in inflation cannot be ruled out given recent energy price movements, 'it will be a transitory phase in the inflation trajectory, and we are hopeful that inflation will return to benign territory.'

The chamber also welcomed the RBI's decision to conduct a $5 billion USD/INR buy-sell swap auction on 26 May 2026, aimed at injecting long-term liquidity into the banking system and bolstering forex reserves. Minda noted that the move 'will help manage liquidity conditions and stabilise rupee volatility amid global pressures and recent currency depreciation driven by geopolitical tensions and oil price shocks.'

Proposed Liquidity and Credit Support Measures

Assocham has put forward an 'On-Tap LTRO' scheme that would provide ₹1 lakh crore in liquidity support at the repo rate to banks and non-banking financial companies (NBFCs). The facility is intended to fund lending to export-oriented and energy-related micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs), primarily through working capital loans of up to ₹10 crore.

The industry body also proposed a 2% interest subsidy on working capital loans of up to ₹5 crore for MSMEs reliant on exports to the MENA and EU regions, to reduce borrowing costs amid tightening global trade conditions.

Moratorium Relief for Energy-Intensive MSMEs

Additionally, Assocham has asked the RBI to consider a six-month loan moratorium or equivalent interest support for energy-intensive MSMEs. The chamber argues this would help businesses absorb rising input costs and preserve financial stability during a period of elevated global energy prices. This comes amid broader concerns that oil price shocks and geopolitical disruptions could squeeze margins for small manufacturers and exporters in the months ahead.

With the RBI's June policy meeting approaching, the central bank's response to these recommendations — and its own inflation outlook — will be closely watched by markets and industry alike.

Point of View

But the Assocham framing glosses over a key caveat: the comparison window — February to April 2026 — captures the peak of US tariff-shock transmission, making India's numbers look better by contrast than they might in a normalised environment. The more pressing question is whether the RBI will read the benign April print as sufficient cover to hold rates while also deploying the kind of MSME liquidity support Assocham is asking for — two goals that can pull in different directions. The On-Tap LTRO proposal is sensible in design, but past directed-liquidity schemes have struggled with last-mile delivery to small exporters. If energy prices stay elevated through Q2, the transitory-inflation argument Assocham is banking on will face a serious stress test.
NationPress
15 Jul 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

How does India's retail inflation compare to other top 10 economies in 2026?
India's retail inflation rose by just 0.3 percentage points between February and April 2026 — from 3.2% to 3.5% — making it one of the most stable among the world's top 10 economies. The US recorded a 1.4 percentage-point rise over the same period, while France, Italy, Germany, and Brazil all saw larger increases than India.
What is Assocham recommending to the RBI ahead of the June 2026 policy review?
Assocham has urged the RBI to maintain a status quo on the repo rate at its first-week-of-June 2026 monetary policy meeting, citing India's benign inflation conditions. It has also proposed a ₹1 lakh crore On-Tap LTRO liquidity scheme, a 2% interest subvention for export-oriented MSMEs, and a six-month loan moratorium for energy-intensive small businesses.
What is the On-Tap LTRO scheme proposed by Assocham?
The On-Tap LTRO is a proposed liquidity facility under which the RBI would provide ₹1 lakh crore at the repo rate to banks and NBFCs for on-lending to export-oriented and energy-related MSMEs. It would primarily cover working capital loans of up to ₹10 crore, aimed at ensuring credit access and business continuity.
Why is Assocham concerned about energy prices affecting inflation?
Assocham has flagged that recent rises in global energy prices could push India's headline inflation higher in the near term. However, the chamber's president Nirmal K Minda described any such increase as 'a transitory phase,' expressing confidence that inflation would return to benign levels.
What did Assocham say about the RBI's $5 billion swap auction?
Assocham welcomed the RBI's decision to conduct a $5 billion USD/INR buy-sell swap auction on 26 May 2026, saying it would help manage domestic liquidity conditions and reduce rupee volatility caused by geopolitical tensions and oil price shocks.
Nation Press
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