Nifty, Sensex fall for 2nd straight week on global headwinds
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian equity benchmarks Nifty and Sensex declined for a second consecutive week as of 6 June, with persistent external pressures overshadowing modest domestic policy support. The Nifty 50 shed 0.77% over the week, closing Friday's session down 0.21% at 23,366, while the BSE Sensex ended the day 116 points lower, or 0.16%, at 74,243 — a weekly loss of 0.71%.
Key Developments This Week
Geopolitical tensions in West Asia and their knock-on effect on crude oil prices remained the dominant drag on sentiment, though some moderation in oil prices offered intermittent relief. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee's supportive liquidity measures and efforts to stabilise the currency provided a partial counterweight, but a downward revision in growth forecasts tempered optimism and prompted selective profit-booking.
On the currency front, the Indian rupee strengthened against the US dollar, slipping below the ₹85 mark, as investors responded positively to the central bank's moves to attract foreign capital. Policy steps aimed at easing access for global investors and reducing tax-related frictions in bond markets were cited as key positives supporting capital inflows.
Broader Market Divergence
The broader market showed notable divergence from benchmark indices. The Nifty Midcap100 posted sharper losses, declining 1.57% during the week, while the Nifty Smallcap100 edged only marginally lower by 0.16%. According to analysts, 'Indian equities traded in a range-bound manner with a mild negative bias, witnessing a modest recovery toward the end of the week.'
Technical Levels to Watch
Market participants have flagged the 23,450–23,550 zone as a strong resistance band for the Nifty 50, with 23,250 acting as a crucial support level. For Bank Nifty, immediate resistance is placed around the 54,800–55,000 zone, while the 54,000–53,800 band continues to serve as near-term support.
What Investors Are Watching Next
With the earnings season now behind, analysts expect range-bound movement to persist until there is greater clarity on growth momentum and external stability. 'Investor focus will shift to the sustainability of RBI's supportive stance, evolving inflation trends, and the trajectory of bond yields,' market participants said. Progress on the monsoon and its implications for rural demand, along with developments in India–US trade discussions and crude price movements, are seen as the next set of incremental triggers for directional positioning.