Is Pakistan's Weak Economy and Dependence on the West Hindering Its NDB Membership?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Pakistan's economy is currently weak and unstable.
- The country is heavily reliant on Western financing.
- Political instability raises doubts about its viability as an NDB member.
- The India-Pakistan conflict further complicates its situation.
- BRICS may face risks if Pakistan joins without addressing its internal issues.
New Delhi, Nov 22 (NationPress) Pakistan's fragile economy, coupled with political turmoil and a significant reliance on Western financial assistance, renders it an unsuitable candidate for membership in the New Development Bank (NDB), according to a recent report.
This report from Star Saturday highlighted that the ongoing India-Pakistan conflict further diminishes the trust in Pakistan's potential as a viable and effective member of the NDB.
Critics argue that Beijing might not advocate strongly for Pakistan, as BRICS members could be concerned that Islamabad may become a burden due to its internal strife, the report noted.
Experts suggest that if Pakistan were to gain membership, it could access the BRICS’s Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA) and benefit from the more flexible loan conditions offered by the NDB.
However, easy access to loans without a strict oversight mechanism, such as that of the IMF, could discourage Pakistan from pursuing essential political or economic reforms.
Currently, there is no substantial evidence that IMF bailouts are being effectively utilized to address Pakistan's economic challenges. Consequently, BRICS risks encountering a free-rider issue, leading to a significant liability and a moral hazard problem.
This situation may undermine BRICS's credibility and effectiveness in the eyes of potential new members and skeptics, negatively affecting its expansion, the report cautioned.
With five founding members and the addition of four new members, the NDB has focused on mobilizing resources for infrastructure and sustainable development initiatives in emerging markets and developing countries (EMDCs) over the past decade.
To date, the NDB has raised billions through bond issuances in China and other markets, approving a total of $39 billion in project financing by 2024.