DR Congo Ebola cases cross 7,400 as North Kivu nears treatment collapse
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has recorded 7,404 confirmed Ebola cases, including 3,577 deaths, as the outbreak shifts from its long-time epicentre in Ituri to a rapidly escalating crisis in North Kivu, according to the latest government situation report released on Thursday, 17 September 2026. The country's overall case fatality rate now stands at 48.3 per cent, with only 1,776 patients having recovered so far.
Shifting Transmission Pattern
Jean-Jacques Muyembe, head of the country's National Institute of Biomedical Research, said on Tuesday in Kinshasa that Ituri had passed a 'peak' and entered a 'downward slope.' However, he cautioned that the epidemic curve in North Kivu was still rising and 'has not yet reached the plateau,' designating it as another major hotspot. Ituri still accounts for 77.7 per cent of all confirmed cases and remains the overall epicentre of the outbreak, which has spread across 62 health zones in seven provinces.
North Kivu Nearing Treatment Saturation
The pressure on health infrastructure in North Kivu has become acute, with 373 patients currently hospitalised and the overall bed occupancy rate reaching 94.7 per cent, according to the government report. Weekly cases in the province almost doubled over just two weeks, rising from approximately 100 to more than 200, raising fears that the region's already strained medical capacity could be overwhelmed in days.
WHO Warns of Continued Expansion
World Health Organisation (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus acknowledged on Wednesday that the response was beginning to show encouraging signs in some of the worst-affected areas, particularly Ituri. He nonetheless warned that the epidemic continued to expand and claim lives. Speaking at a press briefing in Geneva, Tedros said: 'The area is so vast that it is hard to speak of a single epidemic. It is many outbreaks, in many places.'
Historic Scale of the Outbreak
The current outbreak has become the largest and deadliest Ebola epidemic in the DRC's recorded history, and the second-largest globally — surpassed only by the 2014–2016 epidemic in West Africa. That earlier outbreak killed more than 11,000 people across Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, and is widely regarded as the most devastating Ebola crisis in modern history. The DRC has battled multiple Ebola outbreaks over the past five decades, but none has matched the geographic breadth or mortality scale of the current one.
What Comes Next
With North Kivu's bed occupancy already at near-capacity levels, health officials face the immediate challenge of scaling up treatment infrastructure in a region marked by active conflict and difficult terrain. The dual-province crisis — one potentially declining, one still surging — will test whether international response resources can be redistributed quickly enough to prevent North Kivu from becoming the new, larger epicentre of the outbreak.