DR Congo Ebola outbreak: 7,258 cases, 3,510 deaths as peak passes
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has recorded 7,258 confirmed Ebola cases across seven provinces, including 3,510 deaths and 1,726 recoveries, according to government data released on Tuesday, 15 September 2026. The overall fatality rate stands at 48.4 per cent, while 905 patients remain in isolation or hospitalised. Despite the staggering toll, health authorities say the epidemic curve is trending downward after peaking in mid-August.
Overall Trajectory and the Peak
Dieudonne Mwamba Kazadi, head of the National Institute of Public Health, said after a strategic coordination meeting in Kinshasa on Monday that the overall epidemic curve was declining and that the outbreak appeared to have crested around mid-August 2026. Government spokesperson Patrick Muyaya, citing Health Minister Roger Kamba, declared at a cabinet meeting on Friday: 'The 17th Ebola outbreak is under control, and the peak was reached at the beginning of the third week of August 2026.'
According to the government, 10 health zones that were affected before the latest phase of the outbreak have reported no new cases for at least 21 days, while transmission has slowed across several regions in the eastern province of Ituri, which remains the epicentre.
Provinces Still Under Pressure
Kazadi cautioned that the decline was uneven, with North Kivu still registering increases in new infections. Sustained transmission continues in Ituri, North Kivu, and Haut-Uele, while sporadic cases persist in Tshopo and Bas-Uele. The outbreak has now touched 62 health zones across seven provinces — Ituri, North Kivu, South Kivu, Haut-Uele, Bas-Uele, Tshopo, and Sud-Ubangi.
The spread to a seventh province and continued local flare-ups mean that, despite the government's cautiously optimistic framing, persistent risks remain on the ground.
A Historic and Devastating Outbreak
Declared in May 2026, this 17th Ebola outbreak in the DRC has become the largest and deadliest in the country's recorded history. It is also the second-largest Ebola epidemic globally, surpassed only by the 2014–2016 West Africa outbreak. The DRC has experienced more Ebola outbreaks than any other country in the world, and the scale of this one underscores the chronic fragility of health infrastructure in conflict-affected eastern provinces.
What Comes Next
Health authorities are monitoring whether the downward trend can be sustained across all affected provinces, particularly in North Kivu, where insecurity has historically complicated outbreak response. The government has not yet indicated a projected date for declaring the outbreak over, which under World Health Organization (WHO) protocols requires 42 consecutive days of zero confirmed cases — two incubation periods — after the last patient tests negative. With over 900 patients still hospitalised, that milestone remains some distance away.