Japan child population hits record low for 45th year in a row
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Japan's population of children under the age of 15 has fallen to an estimated 13.29 million as of 1 April 2025, down by 350,000 from the previous year, marking a record low for the 45th consecutive year, according to data released by Japan's Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. The figures were made public on Monday, 5 May — a day before Japan's national Children's Day.
Key Numbers Behind the Decline
The share of children under 15 in Japan's total population dropped by 0.3 percentage points year-on-year to 10.8% — the lowest since comparable records became available in 1950. By gender, the data shows 6.81 million boys and 6.48 million girls. The figures include foreign residents and were derived from population estimates based on a national census conducted every five years.
By age bracket, 3.09 million children were aged 12 to 14, compared with just 2.13 million aged 0 to 2 — a gap that underscores the continuing collapse in birth numbers at the youngest end of the cohort.
Births Hit a Historic Low in 2025
The number of children born in Japan in 2025, including foreign nationals, dropped to a record low of 705,809, marking the 10th straight year of decline, according to preliminary data from Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare. This figure represents a sharp long-term fall from Japan's peak child population of 29.89 million recorded in 1954, when post-war baby booms were still driving demographic growth. A second, smaller baby boom occurred between 1971 and 1974, but the downward trend has been unbroken since 1982.
Government Efforts Have Not Reversed the Trend
Despite the Japanese government's sustained efforts to address the falling birthrate — including expanded financial support for child-rearing households and subsidised childcare — the decline has continued unabated for four and a half decades. Critics and demographers argue that financial incentives alone have failed to address deeper structural factors, including high costs of living, long working hours, and shifting social attitudes toward marriage and parenthood among younger Japanese.
Japan Among the World's Lowest for Child Population Share
According to a United Nations survey conducted across countries with populations of 40 million or more, Japan ranks second lowest among 38 nations in the proportion of children in its population. South Korea records the lowest figure at 10.2%, just below Japan's 10.8% — a striking indicator that East Asia's demographic crisis is a regional phenomenon, not an isolated one. This comes amid broader global concerns about ageing populations straining pension systems, healthcare infrastructure, and labour markets across developed economies.
With births falling and the child population share at a 75-year low, Japan faces mounting pressure to either dramatically accelerate its pro-natalist policies or structurally adapt its economy to a shrinking and ageing workforce.