Patna, Nov 12 (NationPress) Following the conclusion of the second phase of voting in the Bihar Assembly elections, the survey firm Polstrat has indicated a significant lead for the NDA, spearheaded by the BJP and JD(U).

The post-poll analysis suggests that several key political figures are on track to secure victories in their respective constituencies, indicating that prominent leaders are likely to hold onto their positions.

In Tarapur (Munger district), Deputy Chief Minister Samrat Choudhary (BJP) is anticipated to triumph over RJD’s Arun Kumar Sah, despite the competitive nature of the election that includes Jan Suraj’s Santosh Kumar Singh and JJD’s Sukhdev Yadav.

In Raghopur (Vaishali), a stronghold of the Yadav family, RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav is expected to win against NDA’s Satish Yadav, with Jan Suraj’s Chanchal Kumar positioned as a distant third.

The highly publicized Mokama seat (Patna district), gaining attention due to the Dularchand Yadav murder case and Anant Singh’s legal troubles, is likely to favor JDU’s Anant Singh, who is contending against RJD’s Veena Devi in this critical matchup.

In Alinagar (Darbhanga), popular folk artist Maithili Thakur (BJP), entering the electoral arena for the first time, is projected to triumph over RJD’s Vinod Mishra, buoyed by her substantial fan base in Mithilanchal.

In Chhapra (Saran district), where Bhojpuri actor Khesari Lal Yadav (RJD) is competing against BJP’s Chhoti Kumari and Independent Rakhi Gupta, the survey forecasts a likely defeat for Khesari Lal Yadav, favoring the BJP.

In Lakhisarai, Deputy CM Vijay Kumar Sinha (BJP) is expected to win against Congress contender Amresh Kumar.

Similarly, in Begusarai, a BJP bastion, Kundan Kumar (BJP) is poised to retain his seat against Congress’s Amita Bhushan.

In Bakipur (Patna), Nitin Naveen (BJP) is anticipated to secure victory over RJD’s Rekha Gupta, according to POLSTRAT’s projections.

Nonetheless, the survey also highlights potential challenges for certain NDA figures.

In Imamganj (Gaya district), HAM(S) candidate Deepa Manjhi, daughter-in-law of Union Minister Jitan Ram Manjhi, is expected to lose to the RJD candidate, even though the area is traditionally a Manjhi stronghold.

In Bipsi (Madhubani), BJP MLA Haribhushan Thakur Bachaul is trailing behind the RJD candidate, while in Bhagalpur, Congress leader Ajit Sharma, a former CLP chief, is also projected to be defeated by the BJP candidate.

In Mahua (Vaishali), Tej Pratap Yadav, president of the Janshakti Janata Dal, is expected to win against RJD’s Mukesh Kumar Roshan. Other contenders in Mahua include Sanjay Kumar Singh (LJP–RV), Indrajit Pradhan (Jan Suraj), and Rimjhim Devi (BSP).

The NDA is projected to secure 133 seats, while the Grand Alliance may obtain 87 seats.

The survey also anticipates that AIMIM could claim 2 seats, the Janshakti Janata Dal (JJD) 1 seat, and independent candidates 1 seat, with 19 constituencies expected to show tight races.

Within the NDA, the BJP is expected to emerge as the largest party with 69 seats, followed by JD(U) with 56 seats.

The Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas), under the leadership of Chirag Paswan, is expected to win 5 seats, while HAM(S) and Rashtriya Lok Morcha (RLM) may secure 2 seats each.

In the Grand Alliance, the RJD is projected to win 65 seats, followed by CPI-ML (10), Congress (9), CPI(M) (1), and VIP (1).

The Bihar Assembly comprises 243 seats, with vote counting scheduled for November 14.

In summary, Polstrat’s evaluation suggests that the NDA remains in a robust position throughout the state, with many of its key leaders expected to continue their tenure, while select prominent opposition figures may face defeats.