Cyclone alert: Extremely heavy rain likely in coastal Andhra on Oct 27–28
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Sunday, 25 October issued a cyclone alert for coastal Andhra Pradesh and adjoining South Odisha coasts, warning of extremely heavy rainfall on 27–28 October as a very severe cyclonic storm intensifies over the west-central Bay of Bengal. Both states are under an Orange alert, with several Andhra districts placed under a Red alert for 27 October.
Storm Track and Intensity
As of 11:30 am on 25 October, the system — currently a deep depression — was centred approximately 870 km east-southeast of Visakhapatnam, moving southwestwards at 5 kmph. The IMD projects it will intensify into a cyclonic storm over the east-central Bay of Bengal by the early hours of 26 October, strengthen into a severe cyclonic storm by the morning of 27 October, and escalate further into a very severe cyclonic storm near the Andhra Pradesh coast by 28 October morning.
The storm is expected to cross the Andhra Pradesh and Yanam coasts between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam as a very severe cyclonic storm with maximum sustained wind speeds of 115–125 kmph, gusting up to 140 kmph, by the forenoon of 28 October. This places millions of residents in low-lying coastal districts in the direct path of the system.
District-Level Alerts
Authorities have issued a Red alert for Kakinada, Konaseema, Eluru, East Godavari, West Godavari, and Krishna districts for 27 October. An Orange alert has been placed on Srikakulam, Vizianagaram, Visakhapatnam, Alluri Sitharama Raju, Anakapalli, Guntur, Prakasam, Bapatla, and Nellore. A Yellow alert covers Kadapa, Kurnool, Nandyal, Sri Sathya Sai, Chittoor, Annamayya, Tirupati, and Anantapur districts.
Beyond Andhra Pradesh, the IMD has forecast extremely heavy rainfall in Odisha and Telangana on 28 October and in Chhattisgarh on 28–29 October, signalling a broad regional impact as the system moves inland.
Disaster Management Response
The Andhra Pradesh State Disaster Management Authority (APSDMA) has advised all fishermen to refrain from venturing into the sea and to ensure their boats and fishing nets are securely tied down at safe locations. APSDMA MD Prakhar Jain specifically cautioned residents against approaching beaches for selfies near high waves — a recurring danger during cyclone events — and urged the public to remain extremely vigilant.
Notably, the Bay of Bengal's warm sea-surface temperatures in October have historically fuelled rapid intensification in systems approaching the Andhra-Odisha coastline. This corridor witnessed Cyclone Hudhud in 2014 and Cyclone Titli in 2018, both of which caused significant casualties and infrastructure damage.
What to Watch Over the Next 72 Hours
The critical 72-hour window runs from the evening of 25 October through the landfall forecast on 28 October forenoon. Evacuation decisions in Red-alert districts, the storm's precise track near Bapatla–Visakhapatnam, and any further intensification beyond the current 'very severe' classification will determine the scale of impact. Residents in coastal and low-lying areas are urged to follow official advisories and avoid unnecessary movement from 27 October onwards.