North India heatwave 2025: Temperatures to hit 45°C across Delhi, Rajasthan this week
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Sunday, 17 May warned that Delhi and large swathes of North India are headed for a punishing heat spell, with maximum temperatures expected to climb 3 to 5 degrees Celsius above current levels over the coming week — potentially touching 45°C in the worst-affected plains.
IMD Forecast: What the Numbers Say
The weather department projected a 'hot spell' lasting through the week, with no meaningful relief in sight for residents of the plains. 'Heat wave to severe heat wave conditions likely to prevail over plains of northwest India and central India during many days of the week,' the IMD said in an official statement.
According to the IMD, maximum temperatures across Northwest India are forecast to rise gradually through 21 May, with no significant change expected on 22 and 23 May. In Delhi, the benchmark Safdarjung station recorded a maximum of 40 degrees Celsius on Saturday — already 0.4 degrees above normal — signalling that the worst is still ahead.
State-by-State Heatwave Timeline
Rajasthan faces the longest exposure, with heatwave conditions forecast from 17 May to 23 May. Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, and Delhi are expected to see a sharp temperature spike from 18 May to 23 May. Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are under heatwave watch from 17 May to 21 May, while parts of Uttar Pradesh are bracing for moderate to severe heatwave conditions through the week.
In the south, Telangana is also forecast to face intense heat, extending the geographic reach of this weather event well beyond the traditional North Indian plains.
Isolated Relief: Storms in MP, Vidarbha, and Northeast
Not all regions are in the grip of the heat. The IMD forecast moderate rains combined with gusty winds and hailstorms in isolated pockets of Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, and parts of western India on 17 and 18 May. These are localised events and are not expected to provide any systemic cooling to the broader heatwave zone.
Meanwhile, several northeastern states — including Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura — are likely to receive rainfall accompanied by lightning and thunderstorms around 18 May. Arunachal Pradesh is forecast to see heavy rainfall around the same period, underlining the stark weather contrast between India's northeast and its northwest.
Context and Public Health Concern
This comes amid growing concern over India's increasingly intense pre-monsoon heat seasons. Heatwaves across the Indo-Gangetic Plain have become more frequent and prolonged in recent years, according to climate data, placing outdoor workers, the elderly, and low-income urban populations at disproportionate risk. Authorities in affected states are expected to activate heat action plans, though no official advisories had been issued at the time of this report.
With the monsoon still weeks away, residents across the affected belt should expect little natural relief in the near term. The IMD's next update is expected to refine the forecast as conditions evolve.