Strait of Hormuz, Malacca emerging as toll points: What it means for India
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Critical maritime chokepoints — long treated as neutral international corridors — are increasingly being viewed as revenue assets by coastal states, posing a systemic threat to global trade flows and, in particular, to India's energy and commercial supply chains. The trend, flagged in a recent analysis by India Narrative, gained traction after Iran moved to monetise transit through the Strait of Hormuz by levying fees on passing vessels. Now, Indonesia is reportedly signalling a similar intent over the Strait of Malacca.
India's Energy Lifeline Under Pressure
The stakes for India are considerable. Roughly 50 per cent of the country's crude oil imports and nearly 90 per cent of its LPG and LNG imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, making it India's single largest energy vulnerability. Since the strait's closure, India has been rerouting approximately 70 per cent of its crude imports through longer alternative sea lanes — including the Arctic and Baltic routes — drawing on West African and Russian crude. According to the analysis, this workaround is economically unsustainable over the long term.
Malacca: India's Trade Artery
While the Strait of Malacca is less central to India's energy imports, it carries more than a third of India's total global trade, particularly with Southeast Asia. The analysis draws a sharp distinction: Hormuz is India's energy lifeline; Malacca is its trade artery. Should Indonesia move to impose transit taxes or regulatory controls on Malacca, the consequences would not be marginal — they would be systemic, the analysis argues. Costs would rise unpredictably, and India's exposure to political decisions beyond its control would deepen, turning transit itself into a subject of economic and geopolitical negotiation.
Strategic Investments India Is Already Making
India has begun responding on multiple fronts. Investments in port infrastructure, expansion of domestic refining capacity, and the building of strategic petroleum reserves are under way. The development of Andaman and Nicobar Islands — and proposals for a trans-shipment hub at Great Nicobar — offer added strategic depth. Their proximity to the western approaches of the Strait of Malacca enables closer monitoring of maritime traffic and strengthens India's footprint in a critical corridor.
On the supply side, India could reduce chokepoint exposure by sourcing more oil from Western, Russian, and African suppliers, leaning more on overland and multi-modal corridors, and investing further in regional connectivity infrastructure.
The Long-Term Fix: Energy Transition
The analysis argues that the most durable solution lies not in rerouting but in reducing the volume of energy that travels long maritime routes in the first place. Domestic electrification of transport, expansion of renewable energy generation, and scaling up non-fossil base-load capacity would directly lower chokepoint risk — converting external dependence into domestic capacity. Strengthening strategic reserves, meanwhile, can provide a buffer against market volatility even when transit constraints cannot be controlled.
What Comes Next
Indonesia's posture on the Strait of Malacca may or may not crystallise into near-term policy. Even so, the signal itself introduces a new layer of strategic risk. For India, the analysis concludes, the response demands more than incremental adjustments — it requires an integrated framework that links energy planning with maritime strategy, and economic policy with geopolitical assessment.