Nifty, Sensex log 8-week losing streak — longest in 25 years
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian equity markets extended their weekly losing streak to an eighth consecutive week on Thursday, 2 October, with benchmark indices shedding roughly 3 per cent each amid relentless foreign fund outflows, elevated US Treasury yields, and escalating geopolitical tensions. Market analysts describe the run as the longest weekly losing streak for benchmark indices in nearly 25 years.
Benchmark Declines
The Nifty 50 closed at 22,421.95, a fall of 3.1 per cent from the previous Friday's close of 23,140.5. The BSE Sensex slid 2.7 per cent to 71,909.7, down from 73,895.7 a week earlier. Broader markets fared even worse, with midcap and smallcap indices declining 3.5 per cent and 3.3 per cent, respectively.
Sectoral Scorecard
The BSE IT index was the sole sectoral gainer, inching up 0.2 per cent over the week. At the other end, the auto sector was the worst performer, tumbling 5.5 per cent, followed by consumer durables, which dropped 5.3 per cent. FMCG and metal indices both shed 4.2 per cent each. Energy, healthcare, and realty indices fell between 3.3 per cent and 3.6 per cent, while banking, capital goods, and power indices declined 2.4 per cent, 2.4 per cent, and 2.6 per cent, respectively.
Key Macro Pressures
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) continued to offload Indian equities through the week, though domestic institutional investors (DIIs) stepped in to provide partial support, cushioning some of the decline. Crude oil prices remained above $100 a barrel amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, compounding pressure on an import-dependent economy. Meanwhile, the US 10-year Treasury yield stayed elevated, a combination that has historically prompted capital flight from emerging markets including India.
Adding a domestic dimension, the southwest monsoon ended with a 13 per cent rainfall deficit, raising concerns over agricultural output and food inflation. A recent hike in minimum support prices (MSPs) for key rabi crops has further fed expectations of a cautious monetary policy stance, according to market experts.
What Comes Next
The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) is scheduled to meet next week, with its policy decision due on 7 October. The coming week will also mark the start of the second-quarter earnings season, which analysts expect to provide fresh direction to equities. The near-term market outlook, experts caution, will remain sensitive to global yields, crude oil prices, foreign fund flows, and geopolitical developments.