Tel Aviv, April 2 (NationPress) The collaborative five-point peace initiative by China and Pakistan aimed at addressing the West Asia conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran faces challenges, according to a report released on Thursday.

In an article for the 'Times of Israel,' Italian political consultant and geopolitical specialist Sergio Restelli emphasized that a feasible agreement must begin by acknowledging the fundamental interests of both parties rather than merely seeking a ceasefire.

"For the US and its allies, the primary concern revolves around the tangible capabilities of the Iranian state, not just abstract notions of stability. Key issues such as nuclear capabilities, missile range, and proxy network structures are at the heart of this conflict. Any agreement that sidesteps these critical questions merely postpones future escalations," Restelli remarked.

"From Tehran's perspective, the stakes are equally high. The negotiations are not about policy adjustments but about the very survival of the regime. Iran will not acquiesce to terms that resemble disarmament under duress or leave it vulnerable to potential strikes. Moreover, it will not relinquish its regional influence without credible and enforceable assurances. Any deal that expects Iran to trust its adversaries without changing the strategic landscape will inevitably fail," he added.

According to Restelli, mediation without enforcement is essentially symbolic, stressing that any potential agreement must involve actors capable of ensuring adherence and imposing penalties for violations. Instead of relying on a singular mediator, a coordinated approach involving powers with significant influence over the various parties may be necessary.

"There is a harsh reality that policymakers often overlook. Peace is unlikely to emerge during moments of moral clarity but rather at times of profound fatigue. The history of contemporary conflicts indicates that agreements are reached not when one side holds the moral high ground but when all parties are exhausted. Economic pressures, supply chain constraints, domestic challenges, and looming political deadlines all compel leaders to view compromise as a strategic necessity," Restelli elaborated.

"Thus, the objective is not to formulate idealistic terms but to prepare pragmatic ones ahead of that pivotal moment. A sustainable peace will not eradicate the rivalry between Iran and its adversaries; instead, it will manage it. It will not eliminate distrust; rather, it will institutionalize it. And it will not be founded on expressions of goodwill but on mechanisms that acknowledge its absence," he concluded.

Restelli further asserted, “The existing proposals fall short because they seek tranquility without confronting the underlying conflict. A future agreement will only thrive if it does the contrary.”