Iran-Oman Hormuz Strait deal near: single shipping route through Iran's waters
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Iran and Oman are on the verge of finalising an agreement on new commercial shipping arrangements through the Strait of Hormuz, which would consolidate the current temporary northern and southern routes into a single corridor passing through Iran's territorial waters for a period of two to four months, a senior Iranian diplomat said on 6 August.
What the Agreement Covers
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister for Legal and International Affairs Kazem Gharibabadi said the two sides had reached an in-principle agreement on nearly all outstanding issues, including the entry and exit route map, following more than three weeks of bilateral consultations. Gharibabadi stressed, however, that the potential deal does not mean the strait would be reopened fully — a key distinction that signals continued Iranian leverage over one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints.
Iran's Stance on US Negotiations
Gharibabadi also pushed back against US claims of ongoing negotiations with Tehran, stating that Iran had received messages from Washington expressing readiness to return to commitments under a peace memorandum of understanding (MoU) signed between the two sides in June. He did not characterise those messages as constituting formal negotiations.
An informed source close to the Iranian negotiating team told the semi-official Fars news agency that any reopening of the strait remains contingent on tangible US implementation of its MoU commitments. The source added that the US Treasury Department's removal of sanctions on an Iraqi airline on Wednesday was unrelated to the Iran-US MoU — a clarification apparently aimed at dampening speculation that Washington was making concessions.
How the Crisis Escalated
The current restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz date to 28 February, when Iran tightened its control over the waterway, barring safe passage to vessels belonging to or affiliated with Israel and the United States, following what Tehran described as joint strikes by the two countries on Iranian territory.
The US military subsequently launched multiple waves of strikes against Iranian targets, stating they were aimed at degrading Iran's ability to threaten commercial shipping. Iran responded with missile and drone attacks targeting US military bases and facilities across the region. The tit-for-tat escalation has kept global energy markets on edge, with roughly 20% of the world's traded oil transiting the strait.
What Comes Next
The Oman-mediated framework, if finalised, would mark the first formal step toward partial normalisation of Hormuz traffic since the crisis began. However, the conditionality attached — particularly Tehran's insistence on verifiable US compliance with the June MoU — means the agreement could stall if either side perceives a breach. Shipping industry stakeholders and energy markets will be watching closely for any formal announcement from Muscat or Tehran in the days ahead.