Pakistan defence budget 2026-27: 18% hike as education, health starved
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Pakistan's federal budget for Fiscal Year 2026-27 has sharply prioritised military expenditure over public welfare, raising defence spending by 18 per cent to 3 trillion Pakistani Rupees — even as poverty levels surge and allocations for education and healthcare remain a fraction of the armed forces' outlay. The budget, presented in Islamabad, underscores a structural imbalance that critics argue leaves the country's human capital chronically underfunded.
Defence vs Human Development: The Numbers
Federal allocations for higher education stand at roughly 46 billion rupees (approximately $165 million), while healthcare received just 25 billion rupees (approximately $89 million). Their combined total is dwarfed by the military's multi-billion-dollar appropriation. According to journalist Uzay Bulut, writing in PJ Media, 'The defence budget is nearly three times the entire federal development budget and significantly higher than combined federal allocations for education and health.'
Social protection — primarily channelled through the Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP) — has been raised to 838 billion rupees (approximately $3.01 billion), an increase of around 17 per cent. However, analysts argue this uplift is insufficient relative to the scale of deprivation now gripping the country.
Debt Servicing Crowds Out Social Spending
Beyond defence, debt servicing (interest payments) has been allocated a staggering 8.054 trillion rupees — the single largest line item in the budget. Together, defence and debt servicing account for more than 60 per cent of the total federal outlay, which exceeds PKR 11 trillion. This leaves severely constrained fiscal space for social protection, infrastructure, and development programmes.
Bulut noted that 'the sectors that directly uplift human capability such as education have thus been given a mere pittance,' a characterisation supported by the raw allocation figures.
Poverty on the Rise
The spending choices come against a backdrop of worsening poverty. According to the Pakistan Economic Survey 2025-26, the national poverty headcount ratio climbed to 28.9 per cent in FY2024-25, up sharply from 21.9 per cent in FY2018-19. That shift pushed approximately 27 million additional people into poverty, bringing the total to around 70 million.
Rural poverty rose from 28.2 per cent to 36.2 per cent over the same period, while urban poverty surged from 11 per cent to 17.4 per cent — indicating that the crisis is not confined to the countryside.
Tax Burden Falls on Salaried Class
To finance the expanded defence budget, Pakistan's government has reportedly leaned heavily on salaried workers and formal-sector businesses through higher taxation. Critics argue this approach penalises the very segment of the economy that drives documented growth, while leaving structural reforms — and the informal sector — largely untouched.
The budget's priorities, analysts note, reflect a long-standing pattern in which Pakistan's civilian leadership has limited leverage over defence appropriations. With economic stabilisation targets already under pressure, the question of whether Islamabad can sustain this spending trajectory without deepening its debt burden remains open.