Pakistan's external debt nearly doubles to $135.1 billion in a decade: World Bank

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Pakistan's external debt nearly doubles to $135.1 billion in a decade: World Bank

Synopsis

Pakistan's external debt has nearly doubled in a decade to $135.1 billion, with China its single largest bilateral creditor at $22.4 billion and debt servicing already consuming 33 per cent of export earnings. The World Bank's 2026 debt report flags rising vulnerabilities across the MENAAP region, with Pakistan at the sharp end of a financing model increasingly reliant on Chinese rollovers and IMF bailouts.

Key Takeaways

Pakistan's external debt reached $135.1 billion in 2025 , nearly double the $68.7 billion recorded in 2015 , per the World Bank's International Debt Report 2026 .
China is Pakistan's largest bilateral creditor with $22.4 billion in outstanding loans; it also extended maturity on $2 billion of those loans in 2025.
Debt servicing consumed 33 per cent of Pakistan's export earnings in 2025, while the external debt-to-GNI ratio stood at 34 per cent .
The IMF disbursed $2.3 billion under its EFF and RSF programmes during the year.
Private-sector loans carried an average interest rate of 8.6 per cent against 3.6 per cent for official creditor financing.
The MENAAP region posted the largest annual rise in external debt-to-GNI among World Bank groupings, climbing to 29.4 per cent from 26.7 per cent .

Pakistan's external debt has nearly doubled over the past decade, rising to $135.1 billion in 2025 from $68.7 billion in 2015, according to the World Bank's International Debt Report 2026. The latest figure also marks a roughly 4 per cent increase from $129.9 billion recorded in 2024, underscoring a persistent upward trajectory in the country's external obligations.

Breakdown of the Debt Stock

Of the total $135.1 billion, public and publicly guaranteed obligations accounted for $107.08 billion, while private-sector borrowing without government guarantees stood at $17.58 billion. Short-term external debt contributed an additional $10.45 billion to the total.

Multilateral institutions were the single largest source of public and publicly guaranteed lending, holding $56.83 billion in outstanding claims. Bilateral creditors accounted for $42.43 billion. Within bilateral lending, China remained Pakistan's largest individual country creditor with outstanding loans of approximately $22.4 billion. The World Bank itself was owed around $19.2 billion, while the Asian Development Bank (ADB) held $16.83 billion in outstanding claims.

Borrowing Costs: Official vs Private

The report highlights a stark divergence in borrowing costs depending on the creditor type. New financing commitments from official creditors in 2025 carried an average interest rate of 3.6 per cent, with an average repayment period of 16 years and a grace period of four years. By contrast, new private-sector loans carried an average interest rate of 8.6 per cent, with a maturity of just three years and a grace period of only one year — terms that place considerably greater near-term pressure on external finances.

Debt Sustainability Indicators

Pakistan's external debt-to-gross national income (GNI) ratio stood at 34 per cent in 2025. Crucially, debt-servicing payments consumed 33 per cent of its export earnings during the year — a level that economists typically flag as a vulnerability threshold. This comes amid a broader regional trend: the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan (MENAAP) region's external debt-to-GNI ratio climbed to 29.4 per cent in 2025 from 26.7 per cent a year earlier, the largest annual increase among all World Bank regional groupings.

Relief Measures and IMF Support

During the year, China extended the maturity of approximately $2 billion in loans to Pakistan, providing additional repayment flexibility at a time of acute fiscal stress. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) disbursed $2.3 billion under its Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) programmes. Notably, this combination of Chinese debt rollovers and IMF programme disbursements has become a recurring feature of Pakistan's external debt management in recent years, raising questions about the structural sustainability of its financing model.

The World Bank's findings arrive as Pakistan continues to navigate one of its most prolonged episodes of external financing stress, with policymakers under pressure to stabilise the current account even as debt servicing demands rise.

Point of View

The refinancing risk is acute. What the headline figure obscures is the growing dependence on two actors — China and the IMF — whose interests do not always align: Beijing's rollovers buy time, while the Fund's conditions demand structural adjustment. That tension has never been fully resolved, and without export-led growth, the arithmetic only gets harder. The MENAAP region's rising debt-to-GNI ratio suggests this is not an isolated Pakistan story, but the country remains its most exposed member.
NationPress
8 Nov 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

How much is Pakistan's total external debt in 2025?
Pakistan's total external debt stood at $135.1 billion in 2025, according to the World Bank's International Debt Report 2026. This is nearly double the $68.7 billion recorded in 2015, representing a growth of roughly 97 per cent over the decade.
Who is Pakistan's largest external creditor?
China is Pakistan's largest individual country creditor, with outstanding loans of approximately $22.4 billion as of 2025. Among multilateral lenders, the World Bank is owed around $19.2 billion and the Asian Development Bank holds $16.83 billion in outstanding claims.
How much did the IMF disburse to Pakistan in 2025?
The IMF disbursed $2.3 billion to Pakistan in 2025 under its Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) programmes. This was part of ongoing financial support tied to economic reform commitments.
What is Pakistan's debt-servicing burden?
Debt-servicing payments consumed 33 per cent of Pakistan's export earnings in 2025, a level economists typically flag as a threshold indicating significant external vulnerability. The country's external debt-to-GNI ratio also stood at 34 per cent.
How does Pakistan's debt situation compare with its region?
Pakistan is part of the MENAAP regional grouping, which recorded the largest annual increase in external debt-to-GNI among all World Bank regional groupings in 2025, rising to 29.4 per cent from 26.7 per cent. Pakistan's own indicators are above the regional average, making it one of the most exposed economies in the grouping.
Nation Press
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