PoGB should return to India's constitutional fold, says Gilgit-Baltistan activist
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Senge Sering, a political activist from Pakistan-occupied Gilgit-Baltistan (PoGB) and founder of the Institute for Gilgit-Baltistan Studies in Washington, has argued that the region should ultimately come under India's constitutional framework, saying Pakistan's continued occupation is driven by PoGB's strategic location, water resources, and its land corridor linking Islamabad to China. Sering made the remarks in an interview with Strat News Global on 10 October 2026.
Pakistan's Strategic Interest in PoGB
According to Sering, Pakistan values PoGB primarily for three reasons: its position as a land bridge to China, the upper reaches of the Indus River system, and the region's broader geopolitical importance. He described PoGB as part of the erstwhile princely state of Jammu and Kashmir, noting that unlike Pakistan's four provinces, the territory does not enjoy equivalent constitutional standing and is instead governed through arrangements dictated by Islamabad.
Sering characterised PoGB as an 'occupied area' and a 'colony', arguing that Islamabad has deliberately denied the region full political and constitutional rights to maintain its grip on the territory.
Growing Demand for Rights and Self-Determination
Sering pointed to rising political awareness within PoGB as a driver of stronger demands for rights and self-determination. He said some activists are now openly challenging Pakistan's presence in the region and pushing for independence. Drawing a parallel with Balochistan, he argued that both regions have suffered political marginalisation and the exploitation of natural resources by the Pakistani state.
He also invoked the historical example of East Pakistan, contending that Pakistan has consistently struggled to accommodate diverse ethnic and linguistic identities within its borders — a pattern he believes continues today.
Why Sering Rules Out Full Independence
Despite the growing independence movement, Sering said he views a fully sovereign PoGB as an unlikely long-term outcome. His concern is that an independent PoGB would become a 'warzone forever', caught between competing external powers. 'We will be this warzone forever,' he said, referring to the risk of PoGB becoming a battleground for rival strategic interests if it were to stand alone.
He argued instead that integration with India would offer greater economic, military and political stability while allowing PoGB to retain its distinct linguistic and cultural identity.
Pakistan's Military Interest in Keeping Dispute Unresolved
Sering contended that Pakistan's military establishment holds a vested political and economic interest in leaving the Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) dispute unresolved, making Islamabad structurally unwilling to pursue a lasting settlement. He warned that Pakistan could face prolonged instability, with peripheral regions — including Balochistan, PoGB, and Pashtun areas — bearing the heaviest burden.
He added that rising unrest in Balochistan and shifting dynamics along Pakistan's western frontier could open greater political space for groups seeking autonomy or outright independence. For PoGB specifically, he said the central question is whether its people can secure meaningful political rights and control over their own resources while protecting their cultural identity.