17 TMC rebel MPs joining BJP? Legal and political walls block defection
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
A claim by Jagadish Chandra Barma Basunia, a first-time Lok Sabha member from Cooch Behar, that 17 rebel Trinamool Congress (TMC) parliamentarians are set to join the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) before Durga Puja next month has triggered a sharp political debate in West Bengal. The claim, made on 15 September 2026, has been swiftly repudiated by BJP state leaders and contradicted by several of the rebel MPs themselves, exposing it as legally fraught and politically premature.
Background: How the Rebels Reached This Limbo
Earlier this year, Basunia and 19 other Trinamool MPs broke from the party following its defeat in the West Bengal state assembly elections. When the victorious BJP declined to induct them immediately, the rebels aligned with the little-known Nationalist Citizens Party of India (NCPI) — a party registered only in 2023 and virtually invisible in Bengal politics. Political observers widely interpreted the move as a tactical manoeuvre to sidestep immediate disqualification under the anti-defection law.
However, the Lok Sabha Speaker has not recognised the NCPI as a separate parliamentary group. As of 15 September 2026, the official Lok Sabha website continues to list 28 Trinamool MPs, all elected under the party's symbol in the 2024 general election. This leaves the rebels in a constitutional grey zone — neither fully part of the Trinamool nor formally acknowledged as members of the NCPI.
The Anti-Defection Barrier
Under the Tenth Schedule of the Constitution, a group of legislators can avoid disqualification only if at least two-thirds of them formally merge with another party — and that merger must be recognised by the Speaker. Without that recognition, the rebels' claim to legal immunity remains fragile. The Trinamool Congress has already petitioned the Supreme Court seeking the removal of the 20 MPs, and the matter is currently under judicial consideration, adding another layer of uncertainty to any talk of a mass defection.
Notably, the longer the Speaker defers recognition, the more precarious the rebels' position becomes. Even if all 17 MPs cited by Basunia were willing to move, the constitutional and procedural hurdles would remain formidable. The Speaker's discretion is paramount, and until a ruling is issued, the rebels cannot invoke the protection of the two-thirds merger clause.
BJP Distances Itself; Rebel Ranks Divided
BJP West Bengal unit president Samik Bhattacharya moved quickly to reject Basunia's claim, asserting that the party was not in talks to induct the rebels en masse. Bhattacharya stressed that the BJP would not admit leaders simply because they wished to join, signalling both political and organisational reservations. Other BJP leaders have reportedly expressed resentment at the prospect of welcoming defectors from the Trinamool.
The rebel camp itself appears far from unified. Senior MPs including Satabdi Roy and Abu Taher Khan have publicly contradicted Basunia, stating he was speaking in a personal capacity. Three MPs from Murshidabad district — Abu Taher Khan, Khalilur Rahman, and Yusuf Pathan — have consistently refused to consider joining the BJP, citing the religious and political composition of their constituencies, where Muslims reportedly comprise nearly 70% of the population. While they have chosen to support the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA), directly aligning with the BJP risks alienating their voter base.
The 'Aya Ram, Gaya Ram' Echo
Basunia's claim has revived comparisons to the notorious 'Aya Ram, Gaya Ram' phenomenon, an expression traced to 1967 in Haryana, when then state legislator Gaya Lal switched party allegiances three times in two weeks. The Tenth Schedule was itself introduced decades later precisely to curb such opportunistic floor-crossing. Critics argue the current episode — with rebels parked in a paper party, awaiting a Speaker's nod — represents a more sophisticated, legally hedged version of the same political instinct.
What Happens Next
The immediate future of the 20 Trinamool rebel MPs hinges on two decisions beyond their control: the Lok Sabha Speaker's ruling on NCPI recognition and the Supreme Court's pending judgment on the Trinamool's disqualification petition. Until both are resolved, any talk of a 'second exodus' into the BJP remains speculative. Basunia's announcement, analysts suggest, may be less a statement of fact and more a pressure tactic — aimed at keeping the rebels in the news cycle and nudging the Speaker toward a decision.