IANS-Matrize Poll Predicts BJP's Comfortable Win in Assam
Synopsis
The IANS-Matrize Opinion polls indicate a strong likelihood of the ruling BJP retaining power in Assam, with significant public satisfaction for Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma. The polls predict a substantial majority, setting the stage for an intriguing electoral battle.
Key Takeaways
Ruling BJP likely to maintain power in Assam Projected vote share for BJP: 43-44% Congress projected to secure 26-28 seats Polling date set for April 9 Political landscape remains competitive
New Delhi, March 15 (NationPress) The upcoming elections in Assam appear to favor the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), with public sentiment indicating strong approval for Himanta Biswa Sarma's administration, according to the latest IANS-Matrize Opinion polls.
The poll suggests that the incumbent BJP government is set to overcome any signs of anti-incumbency and is predicted to secure a comfortable majority in the elections.
The survey estimates a substantial 96-98 seats mandate for the BJP in the forthcoming Assembly elections.
These results, released shortly after the announcement of the election timeline in the Eastern state, indicate that other contenders and independent candidates will gain a modest share of the vote but will not significantly impact the formation of the government.
The IANS-Matrize Survey indicates that the BJP is expected to achieve a vote share of 43-44%, which equates to approximately 96-98 seats.
In contrast, the main opposition party, Congress, is anticipated to perform better than in previous elections but will still fall short of presenting a significant challenge to the ruling party. Congress is projected to receive a 39-40% vote share and win around 26-28 seats in the 140-member Assembly.
Earlier today, the Chief Election Commissioner (CEC) revealed polling dates for four states and one Union Territory (UT), including Puducherry.
Assam will conduct its elections in a single phase on April 9, coinciding with Kerala, with results set to be announced on May 4.
Following the announcement of the polling dates, Assam's Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma shared his response on social media, stating, “Yato dharmastato jayah,” which translates to where there is righteousness, there is victory.
The political climate in Assam remains intense, with Chief Minister Sarma seeking a second term while the Congress party, led by Gaurav Gogoi, aspires for a breakthrough. The state has experienced heightened political activity in recent days, particularly as the Congress party faced departures from veteran members, including Bhupen Borah.
Point of View
The IANS-Matrize Opinion polls present a clear indication of public sentiment leaning towards the incumbent BJP in Assam. Given the projected vote shares and seat allocations, it appears that the political landscape is favorable for the ruling party, while the opposition, primarily Congress, struggles to mount a formidable challenge.
NationPress
18 Jul 2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What do the opinion polls suggest about the BJP's chances in Assam?
The IANS-Matrize Opinion polls indicate that the BJP is likely to win with a comfortable majority, projecting a vote share of 43-44%.
When will the elections take place in Assam?
Elections in Assam are scheduled for April 9, with results expected to be announced on May 4.
What is the projected seat count for Congress in Assam?
Congress is projected to win approximately 26-28 seats with a vote share of 39-40%.
Who is the Chief Minister of Assam?
The current Chief Minister of Assam is Himanta Biswa Sarma.
How are other parties expected to perform in Assam elections?
Other parties and independent candidates are expected to secure a moderate share of votes, but not enough to significantly impact the government formation.
