India-Oman CEPA kicks in: Merchandise exports set to jump 50% to $6 billion
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India's merchandise exports to Oman are officially targeted to grow by 50 per cent over the next three years, as the India-Oman Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) came into force on 1 June. The deal, which entered effect on Monday, is designed to push exports from a baseline of roughly $4.06 billion past the $6 billion mark, with a medium-term ambition of reaching $10 billion.
What Oman Has Offered India
Oman has extended zero-duty access on 98.08 per cent of its tariff lines, covering 99.38 per cent of India's current exports to the Gulf nation. The concessions span all major labour-intensive sectors: Gems and Jewellery, textiles, leather, footwear, sports goods, plastics, furniture, agricultural products, engineering goods, pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and automobiles — all receiving full tariff elimination.
India's Offer and Sensitive Exclusions
India, in turn, is liberalising tariffs on 77.79 per cent of its total tariff lines, covering 94.81 per cent of imports from Oman by value. For Omani goods that are sensitive to India, the concessions are structured largely as tariff-rate quotas (TRQ) rather than outright elimination.
New Delhi has kept a defined set of products in an exclusion category with no concessions: agricultural commodities including dairy, tea, coffee, rubber, and tobacco; gold and silver bullion and jewellery; labour-intensive goods such as footwear and sports goods; and scrap of several base metals. The Finance Ministry issued the formal notification on duty concessions on Sunday, a day before the agreement's entry into force.
Services and Professional Mobility
The CEPA extends well beyond goods. Oman's global services imports stand at $12.52 billion, yet India's share in that basket is only 5.31 per cent — signalling substantial untapped potential. The agreement opens Oman's market to Indian providers across Computer Related Services, Business and Professional Services, Audio-visual Services, Research and Development, and Education and Health Services.
A standout provision is the enhanced Mode 4 mobility framework for Indian professionals. For the first time, Oman has raised the quota for Intra-Corporate Transferees from 20 per cent to 50 per cent. The permitted duration of stay for Contractual Service Suppliers has been extended from 90 days to two years, with a further two-year extension possible. Skilled professionals in accountancy, taxation, architecture, and medical and allied services will also benefit from more liberal entry and stay conditions.
Broader Context: India's FTA Push
The India-Oman CEPA was signed in December last year during Prime Minister Narendra Modi's visit to Muscat. It forms part of a broader and accelerated trade diversification drive. India has signed a similar deal with the United Kingdom in July 2025 and with New Zealand in April 2026, and concluded negotiations for a free trade agreement with the European Union — a 27-nation bloc — on 27 January this year. This flurry of agreements reflects a deliberate pivot away from dependence on any single trade partner, notably as the global economic landscape has been reshaped by the ongoing US tariff turmoil.
With the CEPA now live, attention shifts to implementation — whether Indian exporters, particularly in gems, textiles, and pharma, can capitalise on the duty-free window before competitors from other FTA partners move in.