Agencies Warn of Increased ISKP Infiltration Attempts Amid Afghanistan Crisis
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
New Delhi, March 17 (NationPress) The dire situation in Afghanistan has escalated, particularly after a recent attack on a hospital that resulted in 400 fatalities. As conditions are expected to deteriorate further, Indian intelligence agencies have issued a warning about possible new infiltration attempts into Jammu and Kashmir amid the chaos.
An official from the Intelligence Bureau indicated that communications intercepted reveal that the launch pads in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) are operational again, with over 500 terrorists poised to cross into India.
While most of these terrorists are affiliated with Jaish-e-Mohammad and Lashkar-e-Taiba, the ongoing conflict in Afghanistan has added a new dynamic to the situation.
Recent intelligence suggests that the Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) is planning to exploit the turmoil in Afghanistan to initiate infiltrations into Jammu and Kashmir, according to the official.
The Pakistani government, having enlisted the ISKP to counter the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) and the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), is unlikely to oppose ISKP's attempts to gain a foothold in Jammu and Kashmir.
Historically, there was a clear boundary regarding territorial claims, with Jammu and Kashmir being primarily viewed as the domain of Jaish and Lashkar.
However, the ISKP has made its intentions concerning Jammu and Kashmir known in the past, but lacked the necessary support from the ISI or the Pakistan Army to establish a presence.
Given the changing circumstances, there is now a heightened alert for potential infiltrations by ISKP militants.
Indian security agencies are on high alert along the borders of both Punjab and Jammu and Kashmir.
With the situation in Afghanistan deteriorating, these terror groups are likely counting on Indian agencies being distracted and potentially unprepared.
These organizations are attempting to capitalize on the current instability by increasing their infiltration efforts, hoping that Indian security forces may falter at least occasionally.
Intelligence agencies had previously warned that experienced terrorists could cross into India via the Afghan border, taking advantage of the compromised security.
Currently, India maintains good relations with Afghanistan, with Kabul assuring New Delhi that its territory will not be used as a staging ground for attacks.
While these improved ties bolster India's counter-terrorism efforts, the prevailing conditions in Afghanistan pose a significant risk, as the security apparatus there is under considerable strain, which could be exploited by terrorists, according to officials.
Another official cautioned about the potential for spillover effects from the ongoing conflict, suggesting that ISKP militants might enter Pakistan, exploiting the current security weaknesses, and subsequently move into India.
Earlier this month, Indian security forces thwarted a significant infiltration attempt in Jammu and Kashmir’s Uri. Officials report that infiltration attempts persistently remain a serious concern, keeping security agencies vigilant.
However, the Army asserts that it is fully equipped to counter any such infiltration attempts.
Regarding the situation in Afghanistan, experts predict no immediate improvement. Pakistan is expected to intensify its military operations, with the Afghan Taliban vowing to avenge the attack that claimed 400 civilian lives and may launch strikes on border posts. Increased cross-border guerrilla assaults targeting Pakistani security forces are also anticipated, according to analysts.