Will the UN's $1.71 Billion Humanitarian Effort Change Afghanistan's Fate in 2026?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
United Nations, Dec 31 (NationPress) The UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) has officially unveiled a humanitarian needs and response plan for Afghanistan, amounting to $1.71 billion for the year 2026. This plan is crucial as Afghanistan is anticipated to endure one of the most significant humanitarian crises in the world next year.
In 2026, it is estimated that 21.9 million individuals will need humanitarian aid, reflecting a slight decline of 4 percent from 2025. Additionally, around 17.4 million people are predicted to experience severe food insecurity, which includes 4.7 million classified under IPC Phase 4 (Emergency), according to OCHA.
The UN humanitarian partners aim to prioritize assistance for 17.5 million individuals in 2026, which represents approximately 80 percent of those in need. This coordinated response, costing $1.71 billion, will focus on life-saving and protective measures such as food, shelter, healthcare, nutrition, safe water, hygiene, and multipurpose cash support, as reported by the Xinhua news agency.
Despite the non-conflict nature of the situation, humanitarian conditions in Afghanistan are among the worst globally, driven by severe structural vulnerabilities, escalating food insecurity, and recurring shocks. These include climate-induced droughts, large-scale returnee inflows, frequent earthquakes and floods, multiple disease outbreaks, and significant protection risks, particularly for women and girls, as stated by the office.
Furthermore, the mass return of Afghan refugees exacerbates the situation: over 2.61 million Afghans returned from Iran and Pakistan in 2025 alone, putting immense strain on host communities, essential services, and livelihoods, according to OCHA.