OMCs Face Massive Losses of Rs 64 per Litre on ATF Amid Global Oil Crisis
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
New Delhi, April 2 (NationPress) According to analysts, the government's strategic 8.5 percent increase in aviation turbine fuel (ATF) prices for domestic airlines may provide temporary relief to oil marketing companies (OMCs). Analysts from the global brokerage Nomura have projected that state-owned fuel retailers are still incurring substantial losses on ATF sales, driven by a surge in global oil prices due to ongoing conflicts.
Currently, it is estimated that OMCs are losing approximately Rs 64 per litre on domestic ATF sales, which corresponds to a marketing loss of around $109 per barrel.
Based on current pricing structures, the brokerage predicts annualized ATF losses of Rs 23,600 crore for Indian Oil Corporation, Rs 9,500 crore for Bharat Petroleum Corporation, and Rs 5,300 crore for Hindustan Petroleum Corporation.
The recent hike in ATF prices for domestic carriers, which rose by Rs 8,289.04 per kilolitre or 8.56 percent, has increased the cost from Rs 96,638.14 to Rs 1,04,927.18 per kilolitre.
While this increase is significant, it still falls short of what the fluctuations in global oil prices would suggest.
In contrast, prices for foreign carriers and non-scheduled, charter, and ad hoc operators were raised more dramatically by 114.5 percent, resulting in a new price of Rs 2,07,341.22 per kilolitre.
Although ATF comprises only 2-6 percent of total marketing volumes for OMCs, state-owned retailers maintain a dominant market share of over 90 percent, with around 65 percent of India's total ATF sales directed towards domestic airlines.
Additionally, rates for commercial LPG and premium petrol experienced increases on Wednesday amid stable energy market trends, although OMCs are still facing losses on domestic LPG cylinders.
Commercial LPG prices were elevated by approximately 10 percent.
Focusing on city gas distributors, Nomura highlighted Gujarat Gas as potentially the most adversely affected, citing its greater dependency on short-term and spot liquefied natural gas procurement, where prices have doubled since the conflict began on February 28, 2026.
Furthermore, the brokerage observed that the windfall tax does not apply to Reliance Industries' special economic zone refinery.
On Thursday, shares of state-owned oil marketing companies (OMCs) such as IOCL, BPCL, and HPCL saw a decline of up to 5 percent on the BSE during intra-day trading.