Is Pakistan Facing 'Twin Threats' of Domestic Unrest and Outward Migration Due to Rising Unemployment?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
New Delhi, Feb 7 (NationPress) As countless young individuals in Pakistan attempt to enter a stagnant economy plagued by macroeconomic instability and policy uncertainty, a recent report highlights the nation's looming 'twin threats' of domestic unrest and a surge in outward migration.
To combat this issue, Pakistan must create between 25 and 30 million jobs in the next decade—approximately 2.5 to 3 million annually.
However, without a vibrant private sector, achieving the necessary job creation is nearly impossible, as indicated by The Express Tribune in an editorial.
“As inequality escalates, more young Pakistanis will be compelled to seek opportunities abroad, leading to a depletion of the nation's human capital,” it expresses.
World Bank President Ajay Banga recently cautioned that without immediate and consistent job creation, Pakistan risks turning into a source of instability rather than a potential economic asset.
The repercussions are already becoming evident.
In 2025 alone, around 4,000 doctors emigrated, marking the highest annual exit ever recorded.
Even well-trained professionals see scant incentives to remain in the country due to poor working conditions and restricted career opportunities, the report states.
Furthermore, Pakistan is currently navigating an IMF stabilization program while gearing up to implement a 10-year Country Partnership Framework with the World Bank, which anticipates approximately $4 billion annually in combined public and private funding.
This framework acknowledges that the government has restricted fiscal capacity and that the private sector is already responsible for 90% of job creation.
“At the same time, the expanding community of freelancers exhibits clear entrepreneurial spirit, yet few can grow into companies that employ others, primarily due to a lack of credit, infrastructure, and regulatory support,” the report mentions.
More than 760,000 Pakistanis migrated for work in 2025, reflecting increasing economic pressure and a shortage of job prospects domestically, according to data from the finance ministry’s Monthly Economic Update and Outlook for January 2026.
The report indicates a poor performance in crucial sectors like exports, foreign direct investment (FDI), and overall economic growth.