Akhil Gogoi predicts opposition win in Assam, eyes 76+ seats

Share:
Audio Loading voice…
Akhil Gogoi predicts opposition win in Assam, eyes 76+ seats

Synopsis

With exit polls predicting a BJP landslide, Raijor Dal chief Akhil Gogoi is betting the other way — claiming the opposition will cross 76 seats in Assam's 126-member Assembly. The counting on 4 May will settle whether this is confident politics or wishful thinking.

Key Takeaways

Akhil Gogoi of the Raijor Dal claimed on 2 May that the opposition alliance will form the next government in Assam .
He projected opposition wins in more than 76 seats in the 126-member Assam Assembly , well above the majority mark of 64 .
The projection is based on feedback from grassroots workers and constituency-level leaders following the conclusion of polling.
Most exit polls, however, have predicted a landslide victory for the BJP and its allies — directly contradicting the opposition's internal assessment.
Vote counting is scheduled for 4 May 2025 , when the actual electoral verdict will be known.

Raijor Dal chief and opposition leader Akhil Gogoi on Saturday, 2 May expressed confidence that the opposition alliance would form the next government in Assam, claiming that anti-incumbency sentiment and post-poll assessments point towards a decisive mandate against the ruling dispensation.

Gogoi's Bold Seat Projection

Speaking to IANS, Gogoi said there was "no doubt" that opposition parties were on course to secure a majority in the Assam Assembly elections. "We will form the government. There is no doubt about that. We will win in more than 70 Assembly seats and comfortably form the government," he said.

Going further, Gogoi claimed the collective post-poll assessment indicated that opposition parties together are poised to win more than 76 seats in the 126-member Assembly — well above the majority mark of 64. He said the figures were based on inputs received from grassroots workers, local organisers and constituency-level leaders across districts.

What the Post-Poll Review Indicated

A review meeting was held earlier on Saturday to assess the likely performance of opposition candidates across constituencies. According to Gogoi, several prominent leaders from the opposition camp attended and shared feedback gathered from different districts after the completion of polling.

Gogoi asserted that public dissatisfaction over issues such as governance, unemployment, price rise and alleged administrative failures has contributed to a strong pro-opposition mood across the state. He added that voters have shown their desire for change through the ballot.

Exit Polls Tell a Different Story

Notably, most exit polls have predicted a landslide victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its allies in the Assembly elections — a projection that directly contradicts the opposition's internal assessment. The competing claims from both the ruling alliance and opposition groups reflect the charged atmosphere following the conclusion of polling.

This is not unusual ahead of counting day: post-poll claims from political camps routinely diverge sharply from independent exit poll data, with the actual verdict often settling somewhere in between — or vindicating one side decisively.

What Happens Next

According to Gogoi, the final picture would emerge once counting of votes takes place on 4 May. "On May 4, everything will be clear and the next government in Assam will be formed by the opposition parties," he said.

All eyes are now on counting day, when the electoral verdict will determine whether Assam witnesses a continuation of the present regime or a shift in power for the first time in recent years.

Point of View

Which have uniformly projected a BJP-led sweep. Post-poll declarations of confidence are standard political theatre, but the gap between the opposition's internal numbers and independent forecasts is unusually wide this time. The more consequential question is whether the Assam opposition — fragmented across multiple parties — has the organisational coherence to translate any anti-incumbency into coordinated vote consolidation. If the BJP does win as exit polls suggest, the opposition will need to reckon with whether its alliance architecture was ever strong enough to challenge a well-resourced incumbent.
NationPress
4 Jul 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Akhil Gogoi predict about the Assam Assembly election results?
Akhil Gogoi predicted that the opposition alliance would win more than 76 seats in the 126-member Assam Assembly, comfortably crossing the majority mark to form the next government. He made this claim on 2 May, citing post-poll feedback from grassroots workers and district-level leaders.
When is the Assam Assembly election vote counting scheduled?
Vote counting for the Assam Assembly elections is scheduled for 4 May 2025. The final electoral verdict — and whether Assam sees a change of government — will be known on that day.
What do exit polls say about the Assam Assembly election outcome?
Most exit polls have predicted a landslide victory for the BJP and its allies in the Assam Assembly elections, directly contradicting the opposition's internal projections of winning 76-plus seats.
Who is Akhil Gogoi and what is the Raijor Dal?
Akhil Gogoi is the chief of the Raijor Dal, a regional political party in Assam, and currently serves as an opposition leader in the state. He is a prominent activist-turned-politician known for his grassroots campaigns on land rights and governance issues in Assam.
What issues does the Assam opposition cite as driving anti-incumbency?
According to Gogoi, public dissatisfaction over governance failures, unemployment, rising prices, and alleged administrative lapses has contributed to a strong pro-opposition mood across Assam. He claimed voters have expressed their desire for change through the ballot.
Nation Press
The Trail

Connected Dots

Tracing the thread behind this story — newest first.

8 Dots
  1. Latest 1 month ago
  2. 2 months ago
  3. 4 months ago
  4. 4 months ago
  5. 4 months ago
  6. 4 months ago
  7. 5 months ago
  8. 1 year ago
Google Prefer NP
On Google