US-Bangladesh trade and defence deals 'mirror colonial economics', analysts warn

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US-Bangladesh trade and defence deals 'mirror colonial economics', analysts warn

Synopsis

A Dhaka University academic has drawn a direct line between the US-Bangladesh trade deal's cotton-sourcing mandate and nineteenth-century colonial supply chains — arguing that zero-duty access comes at the price of structural dependency. Add in defence procurement lock-in and a Boeing debt-trap warning, and the picture that emerges is of Bangladesh trading one form of dependence for another, dressed in the language of partnership.

Key Takeaways

The US-Bangladesh trade deal grants zero-duty garment access to the US but mandates use of American cotton and fibre , drawing colonial-era comparisons.
Dhaka University Associate Professor Moshahida Sultana authored the critique in The Daily Star , warning of structural dependency on US agricultural policy .
Defence agreements are reportedly steering Bangladesh toward an all-American procurement ecosystem, covering platforms, ammunition, software, and spare parts — each requiring US export licences .
Bangladesh's aircraft engine imports from the US have surged from Tk 137 crore to Tk 1,852 crore even before Boeing contracts fully take effect.
Analysts warn that dollar-denominated Boeing deals, structured as long-term loans or leases, risk becoming a debt trap for Bangladesh's already strained foreign-exchange reserves.

A US-Bangladesh trade agreement that grants Bangladeshi garment exports zero-duty access to the American market is drawing sharp criticism from Bangladeshi academics, who argue the deal structurally replicates colonial-era dependency rather than delivering genuine economic partnership. The analysis, published in Dhaka's The Daily Star, was authored by Moshahida Sultana, Associate Professor at Dhaka University.

The Cotton Clause and Its Consequences

At the centre of the controversy is a mandatory sourcing condition: Bangladesh must produce its garment exports using cotton and fibre imported from the United States. Critics argue this single clause transforms a market-access concession into a structural dependency. According to Sultana's analysis, Bangladesh's accumulated labour, investment, and sectoral skills now hinge on US agricultural policy — including how much cotton America produces, the subsidies it offers, and the prices it sets.

The article draws a direct historical parallel: just as nineteenth-century Lancashire–India trade ties reduced India to a supplier of raw materials and a captive market for finished British goods, today's 'zero duty, but use our cotton' arrangement is reportedly tethering Bangladesh's largest export sector to upstream US agricultural and corporate supply chains. 'If those policies change one day, if cotton shifts to other markets, or if new conditions are imposed, the shock will hit Bangladeshi factories, workers' jobs, and bank loans directly,' the article warned.

Defence Deals: Subtle Pressures and Single-Ecosystem Lock-In

Beyond trade, the analysis flags what it describes as sharp but understated pressures embedded in US-Bangladesh defence agreements. According to the article, diplomatic language — sometimes bluntly — steers Bangladesh away from suppliers in Russia and China, nudging defence procurement toward an exclusively American ecosystem: platforms, ammunition, software, encryption, and spare parts, each stage subject to US export licences.

'Publicly, it is about 'maritime security' and 'threat response'. But the budget books reveal the old colonial logic in a modern uniform: a dependent state's foreign-exchange reserves used to secure profits for foreign arms companies,' the article stated. Critics argue that framing such arrangements as 'shared security' obscures a flow of public funds from Dhaka into distant corporate headquarters.

Boeing Purchases and the Debt Trap Warning

The analysis also scrutinises Bangladesh's purchases of Boeing aircraft from the United States, describing them as a potential pathway to a debt trap. These deals are priced in dollars, structured through long-term loans or leases, and tied indefinitely to American parts, software, maintenance, and training.

Notably, even before such contracts fully take effect, Bangladesh's imports of aircraft engines from the US have already surged — from Tk 137 crore to Tk 1,852 crore, according to the article. The analysis warns that even if passenger forecasts prove inaccurate or the national airline becomes inefficient, loan repayments will continue, forcing the public to bear the losses and draining foreign-currency reserves. 'For a debt-burdened economy, this is literally a recipe for a debt trap,' Sultana's piece concluded.

Broader Context

The critique arrives as Bangladesh navigates a delicate geopolitical position — balancing its historically close ties with India, its largest neighbour, alongside growing engagement with the United States under the Trump administration. Dhaka's foreign-exchange reserves have faced pressure in recent years, making the terms of any large-denomination dollar-denominated commitment particularly consequential. This is not the first time Bangladeshi academics and commentators have raised concerns about asymmetric trade frameworks, but the specificity of the cotton-sourcing mandate has sharpened the debate considerably.

Point of View

But the more urgent question is whether Bangladesh's policymakers had meaningful alternatives when the deal was structured. Zero-duty garment access is a genuine economic prize for a country where the sector employs millions — the cotton-sourcing clause may have been the price of admission, not an oversight. What is missing from the public debate is a cost-benefit breakdown: does the duty saving outweigh the upstream dependency? On defence, the lock-in risk is real and well-documented in other US partner states, but Bangladesh's stated rationale — maritime security — is also genuine given Bay of Bengal dynamics. The Boeing critique is the strongest of the three: aircraft engine import data showing a jump from Tk 137 crore to Tk 1,852 crore is a concrete, verifiable signal that dollar-denominated exposure is already building, before the headline contracts even activate.
NationPress
9 Aug 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the US-Bangladesh trade deal and why is it controversial?
The deal grants Bangladesh's garment exports zero-duty access to the US market but requires those goods to be made with cotton and fibre imported from the United States. Critics, including Dhaka University's Moshahida Sultana, argue this sourcing mandate creates structural dependency on US agricultural policy, drawing comparisons to colonial-era supply chains.
How does the cotton-sourcing clause affect Bangladesh's garment sector?
Bangladesh's garment industry — its largest export sector — would become dependent on US cotton production levels, subsidies, and pricing decisions. Any shift in American agricultural policy could directly impact Bangladeshi factories, workers' jobs, and bank loans, according to the analysis published in The Daily Star.
What concerns have been raised about US-Bangladesh defence agreements?
Analysts argue the agreements nudge Bangladesh toward an exclusively American defence ecosystem — covering platforms, ammunition, software, encryption, and spare parts — with each stage subject to US export licences. Critics say this effectively locks Bangladesh out of procurement from Russia and China, concentrating dependency in a single supplier nation.
Why are the Boeing aircraft purchases seen as a potential debt trap?
The deals are priced in dollars and structured as long-term loans or leases tied to American parts, maintenance, and training. Bangladesh's aircraft engine imports from the US have already risen from Tk 137 crore to Tk 1,852 crore. If passenger forecasts prove wrong or the airline underperforms, repayments continue regardless, draining foreign-currency reserves.
Who wrote the analysis and where was it published?
The analysis was written by Moshahida Sultana, Associate Professor at Dhaka University, and published in The Daily Star, one of Bangladesh's leading English-language newspapers.
Nation Press
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