Will Indian pharma companies' revenue grow 7-9% in FY26 amidst US market risks?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Revenue Growth: Projected 7-9% growth in FY 2026.
- Domestic Demand: Strong performance expected in the local market.
- Profit Margins: Stable operating profit margins at 24-25%.
- US Challenges: Slowing growth due to regulatory uncertainties.
- R&D Focus: Increased emphasis on specialty products.
New Delhi, Sep 18 (NationPress) - The Indian pharmaceutical industry is projected to witness a revenue increase of 7-9 percent in FY 2026, fueled by robust domestic and European demand, despite facing considerable challenges in the US market, according to a report published on Thursday.
The ratings agency ICRA noted that while global challenges and regulatory uncertainties loom over the US, the domestic market is expected to grow by 8-10 percent, with Europe forecasted to see a growth of 10-12 percent.
Operating profit margins for these companies are anticipated to remain stable at 24-25 percent in FY26, aligning closely with the 24.6 percent margin in FY25, supported by favorable raw material costs, enhanced operational efficiency, and an increasing proportion of specialty products.
Revenue from the US market is expected to slow down, with year-on-year growth predicted to be between 3-5 percent, down from nearly 10 percent in FY 2025, as per the report.
“Companies sampled by ICRA experienced a 10.3 percent year-on-year growth in Q1 FY26, attributed to market share expansions in chronic therapies, new product launches, and regular price increases, despite modest volume growth in branded generics due to escalating generic competition,” stated Kinjal Shah, Senior Vice President & Co-Group Head at ICRA.
ICRA has maintained a 'stable' outlook for the sector, citing a consistent revenue growth trajectory and solid earnings, supported by strong balance sheets, ample liquidity, and resilient operating profit margins.
Domestic drug sales are benefiting from the expansion of sales teams, enhanced productivity of medical representatives, broader rural distribution, new product introductions, and recent GST exemptions on lifesaving medications.
Investment in research and development (R&D) is expected to remain steady at 6-7 percent of revenues, with companies increasingly concentrating on complex molecules and specialty products rather than generics.