New Delhi, Jan 31 (NationPress) Indian intelligence agencies have issued serious warnings regarding potential violence in Bangladesh on February 12, coinciding with the parliamentary elections and a national referendum.

The ISI-backed Jamaat-e-Islami will be closely monitoring the elections. Should they perceive that their influence is waning, numerous radical factions are likely to take to the streets, leading to an anticipated escalation of violence, according to intelligence reports.

The contest is primarily between the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) and the Jamaat. Pakistan's ISI aims for a Jamaat victory to maintain its grip on the nation. Under the leadership of Muhammad Yunus, Pakistan has received various concessions, including ease of travel, trade, and arms agreements.

Observers believe that if the BNP secures power, Pakistan will play a significant role. However, Pakistan is wary of Bangladesh fostering relations with India. A BNP-led government may engage with Pakistan but will also seek to strengthen ties with India.

Conversely, a government led by the Jamaat would merely act as an ISI puppet, executing Pakistan's directives without question. This underlines why Pakistan is determined to see the Jamaat in power.

Furthermore, if the Jamaat ascends to leadership, there is a strong possibility that Yunus could be positioned as the President. Discussions regarding his potential presidency have taken place between Yunus, the ISI, and Jamaat leaders. To secure this position, Yunus has made several concessions to both Pakistan and the Jamaat.

Upon assuming power, Yunus promptly lifted the ban on the Jamaat and, at their request, released several notorious radicals and terrorists. These actions appear to be part of a coordinated strategy to incite widespread violence to benefit the Jamaat, according to officials.

Currently, the BNP appears to have an upper hand over the Jamaat. If this trend persists into election day, significant violence is likely. Officials indicate that there will be efforts to delay the elections to allow the interim government to maintain its authority.

While the prospects of violence loom, the Bangladesh Election Commission aims for a smooth electoral process. It has instructed government officials to avoid campaigning for a 'Yes' vote in the referendum.

The commission noted that such campaigning could sway the referendum's outcome. Should voters approve the July Charter with a 'Yes' vote, the new Parliament will be legally obligated to implement 84 reform proposals, including major constitutional amendments that could alter executive power, judicial structures, the electoral process, and even the state's identity by changing 'Bengali' to 'Bangladeshi.'

With expectations of significant violence, particularly targeting minority groups, Indian borders are under a high alert. There are concerns about potential infiltrations into northeastern states and West Bengal during this period, prompting increased border patrols to prevent illegal immigration.

The US Embassy has also issued a cautionary note regarding election day. “Bangladesh will conduct parliamentary elections and a national referendum on February 12. During this time, political violence or extremist attacks could occur, possibly targeting rallies, polling stations, and religious sites. US citizens are advised to remain vigilant, steer clear of demonstrations, and exercise caution in crowded areas,” the US Embassy stated on X.

American nationals are advised to stay informed through local news, ensure their mobile phones are charged for emergencies, plan alternative travel routes, and maintain a low profile. This advisory follows a meeting between US Ambassador to Bangladesh, Brent T. Christensen, and Jamaat leader Shafiqul Rahman.

Following the meeting, he stated, “I heard Jamaat Ameer Dr. Shafiqur Rahman's insights on the upcoming elections. The United States is eager to collaborate with all Bangladeshi political factions to promote shared peace and prosperity.”

The elections in Bangladesh are set for February 12, with nearly 2,000 candidates from over 50 political parties and independent contenders vying for 300 seats.