Bangladesh foreign investor outflows hit $223 mn in FY26 amid policy, banking woes
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Bangladesh's stock market recorded net foreign portfolio outflows of $223 million in FY26, up sharply from $138 million the previous year, according to Bangladesh Bank data cited in a new report. Policy uncertainty, weak corporate earnings, banking-sector stress, and currency risks are driving the accelerating withdrawal, according to market observers.
Outflows Gathering Pace Since FY21
Net foreign portfolio investment has remained in negative territory every year since FY21, but the pace of outflows is intensifying. The $223 million exit in FY26 marks a 62% increase over the prior year's figure, signalling that investor confidence has not recovered despite some improvement in Bangladesh's broader macroeconomic indicators.
Market insiders have pointed to repeated policy interventions — particularly the use of floor prices in the equity market — as a key deterrent for foreign funds. 'Once investors burn their finger in a place, they cannot forget it easily,' said Kazi Monirul Islam, CEO of Shanta Asset Management, referring to the legacy of regulatory moves that made foreign institutional investors wary.
The Floor Price Controversy
The Bangladesh Securities and Exchange Commission (BSEC) first introduced floor prices in 2020 to arrest a pandemic-era market selloff. The restrictions were lifted in phases over subsequent years, only to be reimposed on 169 companies in 2023. The following year, the floor price was removed from all but 35 of those firms.
After the fall of the Awami League government in August 2024, the floor price was lifted from all but two companies. The BNP government, which took office in February 2025, removed the restriction on the remaining two companies in June 2025.
The repeated imposition and withdrawal of floor prices has had a measurable institutional cost. According to Saiful Islam, President of the DSE Brokers Association of Bangladesh (DBA), global index provider MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International) paused its regular index reviews of Bangladesh following the floor price intervention. MSCI is reportedly set to resume regular reviews from November 2026 following the full withdrawal of the floor price — a development that could gradually improve Bangladesh's standing with passive foreign investors.
Banking Stress and Credit Weakness
Beyond regulatory concerns, Bangladesh's banking sector remains under visible strain. Private-sector credit growth has weakened sharply, weighing on corporate investment, profitability, and asset quality across the financial system. Analysts say the deterioration in bank balance sheets has compounded uncertainty over corporate earnings, making equities less attractive to foreign allocators.
Tax and repatriation concerns have added another layer of friction. Capital-gains taxes, transaction costs, and uncertainty over the ability to repatriate funds have collectively reduced the market's appeal, according to the report.
What Comes Next
Experts caution that macroeconomic stabilisation alone will not be sufficient to reverse the outflow trend in the near term. Rebuilding foreign investor confidence will require sustained regulatory consistency, resolution of banking-sector stress, and clarity on repatriation rules. The resumption of MSCI index reviews in November 2026 represents a potential inflection point, though analysts warn that any fresh policy misstep could delay recovery further.