Pakistan terrorism index 2025: TTP, Baloch surge push fatalities to decade high

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Pakistan terrorism index 2025: TTP, Baloch surge push fatalities to decade high

Synopsis

Pakistan has topped the Global Terrorism Index for the first time in 2025, and the numbers explain why: 200 dead in 17 days in May alone, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa fatalities up 73% year-on-year, and Balochistan deaths nearly doubling. With the TTP rebuilt and the BLA escalating, Pakistan is fighting two insurgencies simultaneously — while its relationship with Afghanistan deteriorates further.

Key Takeaways

Pakistan recorded 200 fatalities across 57 terrorism incidents in just 17 days in May 2025 , per SATP data.
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa logged 2,359 deaths in 2025 — a 73.07% surge over 2024 and the highest since 2009 .
Balochistan fatalities nearly doubled, rising 98.19% to 1,534 deaths in 482 incidents in 2025 .
Pakistan ranked first on the Global Terrorism Index 2025 published by the Institute for Economics and Peace — a first for the country.
The Afghanistan-Pakistan border has seen repeated militant infiltrations and direct security-force exchanges over border fencing disputes.

Pakistan has recorded 57 terrorism-related incidents in just 17 days in May 2025, resulting in 200 fatalities spanning security forces, militants, and civilians, according to partial data compiled by the South Asia Terrorism Portal (SATP) and cited in a report by Eurasia Review. The figures underscore a sharply deteriorating security environment driven by the resurgence of the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), a deepening Baloch insurgency, and escalating tensions along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border.

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa: Worst Violence Since 2009

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa bore the heaviest toll in 2025, recording 2,359 deaths across 545 incidents — the highest fatality count in the province since 2009. This represents a 73.07% surge compared to 2024, when the province logged 1,363 fatalities in 487 incidents. The province has become the primary theatre of TTP operations as the group rebuilds operational capacity following a period of relative dormancy.

Balochistan: Nearly Double the Fatalities Year-on-Year

Balochistan recorded 1,534 deaths in 482 incidents of violence in 2025, against 774 fatalities in 250 incidents in 2024 — a 98.19% increase. According to the report, the escalation is 'substantially a consequence of the continuing frustration among Baloch nationalist groups over the systematic extermination of ethnic Baloch through enforced disappearances and extrajudicial killings by Pakistan security agencies and their proxies — the death squads — in addition to the persistent neglect of the basic needs of the population.' The Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) has intensified attacks on security infrastructure across the province.

Afghanistan Border: A Second Front

The Afghanistan-Pakistan border region has emerged as a second active front, witnessing two recurring patterns of violence: infiltrating militant attacks on Pakistani security checkposts and camps, and direct exchanges of fire between the security forces of both countries over border fencing and the construction of security infrastructure. Relations between Islamabad and Kabul have grown increasingly strained, with each side accusing the other of harbouring hostile armed groups.

Pakistan Tops Global Terrorism Index 2025

Against this backdrop, Pakistan ranked first on the Global Terrorism Index 2025 — published by the Institute for Economics and Peace — for the first time. The report noted that terrorism-related deaths in Pakistan reached their highest level since 2013, with the country recording 1,139 fatalities and 1,045 incidents in 2023. The combination of TTP resurgence, BLA escalation, and deteriorating regional diplomacy has placed Pakistan at the centre of South Asia's security concerns heading into the second half of 2025.

What Comes Next

Analysts warn that without a structural shift in Pakistan's approach to both militant groups and Baloch grievances, the violence trajectory is unlikely to reverse. The country's capacity to manage simultaneous insurgencies on multiple fronts — while navigating a fragile economy and strained foreign relationships — will be the defining security challenge of the near term.

Point of View

And the SATP data suggests that approach is producing more insurgents, not fewer. Meanwhile, the TTP's resurgence exposes the limits of the 2021 Afghan Taliban rapprochement: Islamabad bet that the Taliban takeover would neutralise cross-border militancy, and that bet has demonstrably failed. With two active insurgencies, a hostile Afghan border, and an economy in distress, Pakistan's security apparatus is being stretched across fronts it cannot simultaneously win.
NationPress
17 Jul 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Why has Pakistan topped the Global Terrorism Index 2025?
Pakistan ranked first on the Global Terrorism Index 2025, published by the Institute for Economics and Peace, due to a sharp rise in terrorism-related fatalities driven by the resurgence of the TTP and escalating Baloch insurgency. Terrorism deaths in the country reached their highest level since 2013, with 1,139 fatalities and 1,045 incidents recorded in 2023 alone.
How bad is the violence in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa in 2025?
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa recorded 2,359 deaths in 545 incidents in 2025 — the highest fatality count in the province since 2009 and a 73.07% increase over the 1,363 deaths logged in 2024. The province is the primary operational zone for the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan.
What is driving the surge in Balochistan violence?
Balochistan fatalities rose 98.19% in 2025 to 1,534 deaths across 482 incidents, up from 774 deaths in 250 incidents in 2024. According to the cited report, the escalation is linked to Baloch nationalist frustration over alleged enforced disappearances, extrajudicial killings, and neglect of basic needs by the Pakistani state.
What is the situation on the Afghanistan-Pakistan border?
The border region has seen two recurring patterns of violence: militant infiltrations targeting Pakistani security checkposts and camps, and direct exchanges of fire between Pakistani and Afghan security forces over border fencing and construction of security infrastructure. Relations between Islamabad and Kabul have grown increasingly strained.
How many people have died in Pakistan due to terrorism in May 2025?
According to partial data from the South Asia Terrorism Portal cited by Eurasia Review, Pakistan recorded 200 fatalities across 57 terrorism-related incidents in just the first 17 days of May 2025, encompassing security forces, militants, and civilians.
Nation Press
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