Taliban-era crime in Afghanistan up 60% since 2021, report finds
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Criminal incidents across Afghanistan have surged by nearly 60% since the Taliban returned to power in 2021, according to a report by Stringer Asia, which cites figures drawn from the Taliban's own Interior Ministry data. The findings directly contradict the regime's repeated claims of having restored order and security following the fall of Kabul.
What the Data Shows
According to data published by the Taliban Interior Ministry in November 2025 and reported in January 2026, total criminal cases rose from 10,834 in the solar hijri year 1400 (March 2021–March 2022) to 17,320 in 1403 (March 2024–March 2025) — a rise of approximately 60%. Murder cases climbed from 1,502 to 1,734, an increase of more than 15%. Theft cases doubled, from 3,102 to 6,225.
The report notes that these are figures the Taliban itself released, making the scale of deterioration particularly striking. Given that Afghanistan remains under stringent media restrictions, the true extent of criminality is, according to the report, likely far greater than these numbers indicate.
A Security State Built to Control, Not Protect
The Stringer Asia report draws a sharp distinction between the Taliban's capacity for political repression and its apparent inability — or unwillingness — to address ordinary crime. 'The Taliban's security state is not built to protect society. It is built to control it,' the report states. 'It is highly efficient when the target is a woman seeking education, a journalist asking questions, a former official, a protester, a musician, a civil society activist, or anyone who challenges the regime's authority. It is far less effective when the threat comes from gangs, armed robbers, extortion networks, drug economies, or Taliban-linked actors operating under the cover of power.'
The report argues that this asymmetry is not incidental: 'The state sees dissent more clearly than it sees crime, because dissent threatens the regime. Crime merely feeds the ecosystem around it.'
Geographic Spread of Crime
Reported incidents of homicide, armed robbery, theft, assault, extortion, and gang activity span the country — from Helmand in the south to Badakhshan in the northeast, from Herat in the west to Kabul in the centre, and across northern provinces including Balkh, Parwan, Faryab, and Jawzjan. The breadth of the data, the report argues, rules out regional anomalies and points to a systemic pattern.
Governance Failures Behind the Numbers
The report characterises Taliban-ruled Afghanistan not as a 'stable Islamic order' but as a 'coercive and criminalised landscape where state violence is organised but public safety remains elusive.' Despite the ability to issue decrees, enforce punishments, and allocate resources to its security apparatus, the regime has, according to the report, failed to build institutional trust, ensure fair justice, or adequately protect ordinary citizens.
Notably, this assessment comes nearly five years after the Taliban's return — a period long enough to test governance claims beyond the chaos of transition. The report concludes that the persistent rise in murder, theft, and extortion is 'not failure by accident but by design.'