TTP, Baloch rebels open two-front war on CPEC as Pakistan faces manpower crisis
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and the Balochistan Liberation Front (BLF) have launched coordinated assaults on Pakistani security forces across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and Balochistan, intensifying a two-front security crisis that is now directly threatening China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) infrastructure, according to intelligence officials. The simultaneous offensive is stretching Pakistan's security apparatus to its limits at a time when the country reportedly faces an acute manpower shortage.
The Two-Front Offensive
According to an Intelligence Bureau official, the security situation across both Balochistan and KP remains 'grim', with the TTP and Baloch separatist groups reportedly planning simultaneous strikes in the two provinces. The strategy, officials warn, is designed to stretch Pakistan's security forces thin across multiple theatres, degrading their operational effectiveness on each front individually.
The BLF has launched what it calls 'Operation Almas', which is focused specifically on disrupting developmental projects tied to the CPEC. The most recent attack under this operation targeted the Frontier Works Organisation (FWO) at Gwadar Zero Point, killing seven Pakistani security personnel. Among the senior officers killed are Military Intelligence Captain Sajjad and Lieutenant Colonel Hassan Mujahid.
CPEC Under Threat
Intelligence inputs suggest that the TTP, BLF, and the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) are likely to escalate attacks on CPEC-linked development projects in the coming weeks. Gwadar, the strategically vital port city that serves as the corridor's southern anchor linking western China to the Arabian Sea, is considered a prime target. Officials warn that sustained attacks on Gwadar would directly hurt Chinese investments in the region.
This comes amid growing pressure from Beijing on Islamabad over the safety of Chinese nationals and infrastructure. According to reports, Pakistan is struggling to maintain the balance in its relationship with China even as it lacks a concrete plan to contain the simultaneous attacks across multiple fronts.
Targeting High-Ranking Officers
A particularly alarming development, according to officials, is the reported plan by militant groups to specifically target high-ranking Pakistan Army officers. An Intelligence Bureau official warned that such strikes could cause widespread demoralisation within the ranks and potentially trigger desertions — a severe concern for Rawalpindi at a time of acute manpower pressure.
'This would result in the forces getting demoralised, which would further hurt the battle in KP and Balochistan,' the official said.
Emergency Recall of Retired Personnel
The gravity of the manpower crisis came into sharp relief when the Pakistani Army issued an emergency recall of retired personnel, with those recalled reportedly ordered to report by 30 October, according to an official. The move underscores the depth of the institutional strain Pakistan's military is under as it attempts to manage simultaneous insurgencies on two geographically separated fronts.
Analysts note that this is not an isolated escalation — the BLA, BLF, and TTP have repeatedly warned against Chinese investment in the region, and Islamabad has yet to address the underlying political grievances driving the insurgencies. With Beijing's patience reportedly wearing thin, Pakistan faces a compounding crisis that is as much diplomatic as it is military.