South Korea fuel price cap: 96% of gas stations freeze prices amid Middle East crisis
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
More than 96 per cent of South Korea's gas stations had kept gasoline prices unchanged as of Wednesday, 14 May, according to the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy, which credited the country's fuel price cap system for stabilising domestic energy costs amid the ongoing Middle East crisis. The ministry made the disclosure during a regular briefing on energy supply conditions.
Key Developments
Specifically, 96.1 per cent of the country's 10,646 gas stations maintained gasoline prices at the previous day's level, according to ministry data. Last week, the government froze fuel price caps for the third consecutive time, holding maximum prices of regular gasoline at 1,934 won (US$1.30) per litre, diesel at 1,923 won per litre, and kerosene at 1,530 won per litre — prices charged to gas stations by local oil refiners.
South Korea vs Global Fuel Price Rises
The ministry noted that since the outbreak of the US-Israeli war against Iran in late February, South Korea's gasoline prices have risen only 19 per cent and diesel prices 26 per cent — a markedly smaller increase than in several other major economies. By comparison, both gasoline and diesel prices surged 44 per cent over the same period in the United States. In Britain, Germany, and France, gasoline prices rose between 19 per cent and 22 per cent, while diesel climbed between 28 per cent and 37 per cent, according to the ministry.
Japan recorded relatively smaller increases — 7 per cent for gasoline and 9 per cent for diesel — aided by its own subsidy system.
Impact on Fuel Consumption
Since the price cap system was introduced on 13 March, consumption of gasoline and diesel has declined by 3 per cent and 8 per cent, respectively. Yang Ghi-wuk, Deputy Minister for Trade, Industry and Resources Security, acknowledged the demand squeeze. 'Overall, consumers appear to be feeling pressure (over fuel consumption) due to higher prices,' he said.
Yang also noted a nuanced policy trade-off: 'Some may argue that fuel consumption would have contracted further if international oil prices had been fully reflected in domestic fuel prices. But we also need to consider the negative impact of weakened consumption, so there can be differing views on what constitutes an appropriate price level.'
When Will the Price Cap Be Lifted?
Yang indicated that the government would consider lifting the ceiling once international crude prices fall below $100 per barrel, contingent on stabilisation in the Strait of Hormuz. As of Wednesday, Brent crude stood at $105.63 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was at $101.04 per barrel — both still above the threshold. With crude benchmarks remaining elevated, an early exit from the price cap regime appears unlikely in the near term.