Bangladesh gas crisis: 1,380 MMcfd shortfall exposes LNG chain weakness
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Bangladesh is grappling with a severe gas supply crisis, with total availability standing at approximately 2,420 million cubic feet per day (MMcfd) in mid-August against a national demand of roughly 3,800 MMcfd — a shortfall of nearly 1,380 MMcfd. According to a report by Dhaka-based The Daily Star, the crisis is fundamentally a logistics failure compounded by dangerous concentration risk in the country's LNG import infrastructure.
How the Crisis Unfolded
The supply disruption traces back to cascading failures in Bangladesh's LNG import chain rather than any single procurement lapse. Excelerate Energy's Floating Storage and Regasification Unit (FSRU) went offline following a fire and subsequent technical problems. Separately, weather-related unloading delays at a second terminal left inventories exhausted and supplies interrupted.
'Excelerate's terminal later also exhausted its LNG inventory while waiting for its next cargo. These were separate incidents, but together they exposed the same weakness: the country's LNG supply chain does not have enough redundancy,' The Daily Star report stated.
The Anatomy of a Fragile Supply Chain
LNG imports must travel through an intricate physical chain: procurement, cargo nomination, shipping, vessel scheduling, and navigation through international sea routes. Once at sea, cargoes must arrive at Moheshkhali Island, be transferred to an FSRU, stored, regasified, and then transmitted through high-pressure pipelines before reaching power plants, industries, refuelling stations, and households.
Bangladesh currently operates two FSRUs off Moheshkhali Island, which together supply an estimated 30–37 per cent of national gas needs. The report notes that this concentration creates a single-point vulnerability — a technical failure, marine accident, or shipping delay at Moheshkhali can rapidly cascade through the entire economy.
Sectors Hit by the Shortfall
The supply gap has rippled across critical segments of the Bangladeshi economy. Factories, CNG filling stations, households, and power plants have all been affected, according to the report. For a manufacturing-dependent economy — particularly one reliant on its garment export sector — sustained gas shortages carry significant production and export risk.
Structural Risks Beyond the Immediate Crisis
The report also flagged a longer-term structural concern: domestic gas production in Bangladesh continues to decline, making the country increasingly dependent on imported LNG. This shift exposes the economy to international price volatility, foreign exchange pressures, and maritime disruption risks simultaneously.
'A port operator would hesitate to route a critical share of national trade through only two pieces of infrastructure located at essentially the same gateway,' the report observed, underlining the systemic nature of the vulnerability.
What Needs to Change
Analysts cited in the report argue that Bangladesh urgently needs to build redundancy into its LNG supply architecture — whether through additional FSRUs, diversified import terminals, or strategic gas reserves. Without structural reform, any single link failure in the procurement-to-distribution chain risks triggering economy-wide disruption, as the mid-August crisis demonstrated.