Bangladesh RMG exports to US drop 7.55% as trade pact boost awaits
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Bangladesh's ready-made garment (RMG) exports to the United States declined 7.55% year-on-year in the February–July 2026 period, even as Dhaka ramps up purchases of American goods under a bilateral trade agreement signed in February 2026, according to a new report. The data, drawn from the Office of Textiles and Apparel (OTEXA), underscores a widening gap between Bangladesh's import commitments and its export performance in its most critical overseas market.
The Numbers Behind the Decline
Bangladesh recorded $4.65 billion in garment exports to the US during the January–July 2026 period, down from $4.96 billion in the same period of 2025, according to OTEXA data. The drop stands in contrast to regional peers: Cambodia and Indonesia both posted growth in their US apparel shipments over the same window, suggesting the pressure on Bangladesh is at least partly structural rather than purely demand-driven.
Trade Pact Promise Yet to Translate
Following the February 2026 trade agreement, Dhaka has signed purchasing commitments worth billions of dollars for Boeing aircraft, liquefied natural gas, and grains. Yet, according to reports, its exports in the other direction have yet to see a substantial boost as the country 'waits for the trade pact to be implemented.' The asymmetry — buy now, benefit later — leaves Bangladesh's RMG sector in a difficult holding pattern, with no guaranteed export uplift in sight.
Cost Pressures Eroding Competitiveness
Industry estimates indicate that production costs in Bangladesh's garment sector have surged 30–40% over the past several years, driven by higher gas and electricity prices, rising wages, elevated interest rates, and exchange-rate depreciation. Exporters reportedly find it difficult to absorb these costs because of limited room to pass increases on to overseas buyers — a constraint that raises the risk of lost orders and shrinking market share.
Even a marginal price differential is enough to redirect an order to a competitor, industry leaders have noted. Compounding the challenge, escalating conflict in the Middle East and an additional 10% tariff imposed by the US administration are adding fresh layers of pressure on Bangladeshi exporters.
India, Vietnam, China Gaining Ground
Bangladesh's exporters are reportedly losing orders to regional rivals including India, Vietnam, and China as cost structures diverge. According to experts, Bangladesh has failed to capture the market share diverted from China during earlier trade tensions, with regional competitors better positioned to absorb the shift. Supply chain constraints and domestic energy shortages have further hampered Bangladesh's ability to scale up output and meet delivery timelines, according to the latest US apparel import data.
What to Watch
The trajectory of Bangladesh's RMG sector will hinge on two key variables: the pace of implementation of the February 2026 trade agreement with the US, and the country's ability to contain domestic production costs. Industry bodies and trade observers are watching whether Dhaka can leverage its bilateral purchasing commitments as diplomatic capital to secure preferential market access — without which the cost gap with competitors may prove difficult to bridge.