PoJK protests: Civilian killings expose China-Pakistan CPEC model's limits
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The killing of civilian protesters in Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir (PoJK) has laid bare the fundamental contradictions of the China-Pakistan development model, according to a report by UK-based publication Asian Lite. Weeks of sustained unrest, mass arrests, and communication blackouts have culminated in violent clashes between demonstrators and security forces, with casualties reported on both sides.
What Sparked the Unrest
The protests have been spearheaded by the Jammu Kashmir Joint Awami Action Committee (JKJAAC), a broad-based coalition of transporters, traders, and civil society organisations. Their demands span lower electricity tariffs, reduced food prices, equitable distribution of local resources, and meaningful political representation — grievances that have simmered in the region for several years.
The full scale of the violence remains unclear, as communication links to PoJK have been disrupted and conflicting accounts continue to emerge from the territory, according to the Asian Lite report.
Pakistan's Coercive Response
Rather than engaging with the protesters' economic and political demands, Islamabad has responded with coercive security measures, effectively pushing a civic dispute into the security domain. Critics argue that repeated mobilisations in PoJK over the past several years have repeatedly demonstrated that coercion does little to address the underlying causes of public discontent.
The Asian Lite report noted: 'Pakistan's reliance on coercion may suppress that tension temporarily, while Chinese investment can continue expanding the territory's infrastructure. Neither, however, resolves the underlying question of how communities participate in deciding how resources are developed and how their benefits are distributed.'
The CPEC Contradiction
PoJK is increasingly integrated into Islamabad's infrastructure ambitions and, through the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), into Beijing's expanding economic footprint in the region. China has promoted CPEC as a connectivity and development partnership, but the model relies entirely on the Pakistani state to negotiate projects, provide security, and supply the political legitimacy under which Chinese firms operate.
The report observed: 'The current unrest therefore exposes a broader contradiction: infrastructure can increase the economic and strategic value of a territory without necessarily giving its residents a greater role in determining how that value is used.'
Limits of the State-to-State Development Model
The unrest has exposed a structural weakness in China's state-to-state development approach. When the host state faces a legitimacy crisis — as Pakistan demonstrably does in PoJK — Chinese investment cannot substitute for genuine governance or community consent. The report concluded that the 'widening distance' between how PoJK is valued within larger strategic and economic plans and how governance is contested by its population remains unresolved.
As protests persist and Islamabad's coercive playbook shows diminishing returns, the future of CPEC-linked projects in the region will depend on whether either government can offer the people of PoJK a credible stake in the territory's development.