Ramaswamy Flags $1.1 Trillion in Medicaid Improper Payments
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Context
In his post, Ramaswamy cited figures showing Ohio's Medicaid enrolment rose from 2.9 million to 3 million beneficiaries while spending in the state ballooned from $27 billion to $47 billion — a near-doubling of costs against a comparatively modest rise in enrolment. 'That's unacceptable,' he wrote, framing the gap as evidence of systemic fiscal mismanagement rather than demographic need. The post arrives as federal and state governments face intensifying scrutiny over entitlement programme integrity.
Policy Backdrop
Medicaid, created under the Social Security Amendments of 1965, is jointly funded by the federal government's Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) and individual states. The Affordable Care Act of 2010 significantly expanded eligibility, drawing millions of additional Americans into the programme and accelerating both enrolment and spending curves. Annual CMS improper payment reports have consistently flagged Medicaid error rates above 10 percent for much of the past two decades, a figure that has drawn repeated congressional oversight hearings but limited structural reform.
The end of pandemic-era continuous enrolment requirements in 2023 was expected to trigger large-scale eligibility redeterminations and trim rolls, but spending growth has continued to outpace enrolment reductions in several states. The aggregate $1.1 trillion figure Ramaswamy cites — attributed to independent estimates — encompasses improper payments flagged over a full decade, reflecting cumulative concerns about eligibility verification gaps, managed-care oversight failures, and documented waste, fraud, and abuse across state programmes.
Stakeholders and Impact
US taxpayers, who jointly fund Medicaid through federal and state appropriations, bear the direct fiscal cost of improper payments. State governments, including Ohio's administration, face pressure to demonstrate tighter eligibility controls without cutting coverage for genuinely eligible low-income residents. Medicaid beneficiaries — the programme's approximately 80 million enrolees nationally — stand at the centre of any reform debate, as eligibility redetermination processes can result in coverage loss for vulnerable populations even when errors are unintentional.
Ramaswamy's profile as a former co-lead of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) advisory effort and founder of Strive Asset Management gives his commentary on federal spending a political weight beyond that of a typical commentator. His focus on Ohio — his home state — adds a local accountability dimension to what is otherwise a national fiscal argument.
What's Next
Attention will turn to the release of the next CMS Medicaid improper payment report, which will provide the most authoritative official accounting of error rates and aggregate sums. Congressional committees with jurisdiction over health spending are expected to hold further hearings on eligibility redetermination and managed-care oversight in the coming months. Any state-level budget proposals from Ohio or other high-spending states that address Medicaid programme integrity will be closely watched as a gauge of whether political pressure translates into policy action.