US warns Gulf states to brace for Iran strike after midterms: WSJ
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The United States has privately told several Gulf countries to prepare for a brief but intense military campaign against Iran following the US midterm elections, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal on 28 October 2026, citing people briefed on the conversations. The disclosure marks a significant escalation in Washington's posture toward Tehran.
Military Preparations Underway
US forces in the Middle East are reportedly replenishing ammunition stocks, with bombers and fighter jets being readied for potential strikes. Israel has also drawn up plans and identified targets for a possible new attack, according to the Journal's report. Both Washington and Jerusalem are said to be preparing for another round of intense military operations against Iran.
Trump's Position: Strike or Deal
US President Donald Trump has not made a final decision but is reportedly leaning toward a major attack targeting Iranian infrastructure and nuclear sites. He has indicated the United States would not strike Iran before the midterms. Speaking at a Republican campaign rally in Fort Myers, Florida, Trump left the door open for diplomacy while signalling that military action remains firmly on the table.
'We may do another little Epic Fury, or they'll agree. If they're smart, they'll just say, let's get down to business,' Trump told supporters.
Past Operations Referenced
Trump cited two prior US military operations against Iran — Operation Midnight Hammer and Operation Epic Fury — claiming they had destroyed the country's nuclear enrichment capabilities and severely weakened its military and economy. 'We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer,' he said. He added that subsequent operations had reinforced the initial strikes, asserting: 'We defeated them militarily, financially and otherwise and now we are ensuring it's done.'
Diplomatic Track Still Open
Trump's remarks suggested that Washington remains open to a negotiated agreement, provided Tehran accepts terms that would prevent it from developing nuclear weapons. However, he did not outline the specific conditions Iran would need to meet to avoid further military action. Critics argue that the dual-track approach — simultaneous threats of force and offers of diplomacy — risks miscalculation, particularly given the region's fragile stability.
Regional and Global Stakes
The reported warning to Gulf nations underscores how far the US-Iran confrontation has escalated since the spring bombing campaign. This comes amid broader Middle East tensions, with Gulf states caught between their security dependence on Washington and economic ties to a destabilised neighbourhood. Any new military campaign would carry significant implications for global oil supplies, shipping lanes, and regional alliances, analysts note.