Pakistan's 25 million out-of-school crisis: Decades of neglect exposed
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
More than 25 million children in Pakistan remain out of school, according to a comprehensive comparative policy review by the Civil Services Academy (CSA), released on 6 July — two years after the country declared a National Education Emergency. The report attributes the crisis not to a lack of policy frameworks but to chronic failures in implementation, governance, funding, and data integration across provinces.
The Scale of the Crisis
Citing data from the Pakistan Institute of Education (PIE), the CSA review estimates that between 25.1 million and 26 million children of school-going age are currently outside the formal education system. The report, compiled by five Policy Analysis Groups at the Pakistan Administrative Service Campus, evaluates education systems across Punjab, Sindh, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Balochistan, Islamabad Capital Territory, Pakistan-occupied Gilgit-Baltistan (PoGB), and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) against indicators of effectiveness, equity, efficiency, ethical governance, and feasibility.
According to the report, all provinces have formulated plans under the National Education Action Plan (NEAP) 2026. However, the gap between planning and execution has widened to the point where policy ambition has failed to translate into measurable improvements in educational access for millions of children.
Province-by-Province Breakdown
Punjab bears the largest absolute burden, with between 9.6 million and 10.4 million children out of school. The province reportedly requires around 35,000 additional classrooms at middle and secondary levels, while poverty, child labour, and household economic pressures continue to push children away from education.
Sindh faces a structural collapse in educational continuity beyond primary level. The province has approximately 7.4 million out-of-school children, including 4.1 million girls — representing 44% of its school-age population. With more than 36,000 primary schools but only 2,634 middle schools and 1,674 secondary schools, nearly 54% of children drop out after completing primary education.
In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, 4.9 million children remain out of school. The report attributes this to difficult terrain, security challenges, administrative fragmentation, and acute shortages of female teachers — particularly in merged districts such as Upper Kohistan, Torghar, and Bajaur, where conservative social norms further limit female enrolment.
Balochistan is identified as the most structurally disadvantaged province. Despite a reported decline in out-of-school rates — from 69% in 2023 to 45% in 2025 — the province's vast geography means children often travel around 30 kilometres to reach a primary school and up to 360 kilometres for secondary education, making regular attendance largely unfeasible in many areas.
In Diamer district of PoGB, 42% of children are out of school. In PoK, nearly half of all children drop out before completing primary education.
Root Causes: Neglect Over Decades
The CSA review traces the crisis to decades of systemic neglect. Rapid population growth, persistent poverty, weak institutional capacity, and chronically low public investment in education have compounded over time. From the 1990s through the 2010s, the Academy of Educational Planning and Management (AEPAM) was responsible for tracking out-of-school children, yet state infrastructure failed to keep pace with demographic pressures. This vacuum enabled low-cost private schooling to expand without addressing underlying access inequalities.
Pakistan's overall public expenditure on education remains significantly below international benchmarks, according to the report, raising concerns that financial commitments have not kept pace with either demographic realities or constitutional obligations.
What the Report Recommends
The CSA review warns that without structural reforms in governance, accountability, financing, and data integration, the National Education Emergency risks remaining a symbolic declaration rather than a functional response to a national crisis. It identifies extremely low public investment in education as a common constraint across all provinces. The report concludes that Pakistan risks entrenching — rather than reversing — its education crisis unless concrete institutional reforms are introduced urgently.