AI servers need 28,000 MLCCs each, sparking historic supply crunch
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCCs) — the tiny passive components known as 'the rice of the electronics industry' — are at the centre of what Goldman Sachs has called the 'largest and longest' supply cycle in the component's history, driven almost entirely by the explosive computing demands of artificial intelligence (AI). The bottleneck, already straining global supply chains, is expected to deepen as AI infrastructure spending accelerates through 2026 and beyond.
Why AI is the primary demand driver
The rapid build-out of power-hungry data centres to support AI training and inference workloads is the single biggest catalyst behind the current MLCC shortage. A dedicated AI server requires up to 28,000 MLCC units per machine — a 13-fold increase compared with a standard server configuration, according to China Securities. That staggering multiplier effect means even modest growth in AI server shipments translates into an enormous incremental pull on MLCC supply.
Katsuya Sase, CEO of Japanese MLCC maker Taiyo Yuden, described the pace of demand growth as 'scary' — a rare admission from an industry executive accustomed to cyclical swings but clearly caught off-guard by the current magnitude.
Nvidia's Rubin platform doubles board-level MLCC count
Nvidia's next-generation computing platform, the Rubin architecture, is set to debut later in 2026 and will use 12,000 MLCC units on a single board, according to TrendForce. That compares with 6,500 units on the current GB200 platform — an increase of roughly 85% per board. As Rubin-based systems ramp in volume, the incremental demand on MLCC manufacturers will intensify further.
The concentration of demand around a single supplier's roadmap underscores how tightly the semiconductor and passive-component ecosystems are now intertwined, leaving MLCC makers with little buffer time to scale capacity.
EVs and humanoid robots add to the pressure
Beyond AI infrastructure, a second wave of demand is emerging from electric vehicles (EVs), autonomous cars, and humanoid robots. An EV equipped with Level 2+ autonomous driving capabilities requires more than 10,000 MLCC units, according to Murata Manufacturing, the world's largest MLCC maker. By contrast, a typical smartphone uses only 800 to 1,000 units — illustrating how the centre of gravity for MLCC demand has shifted decisively away from consumer electronics.
The convergence of AI servers, autonomous vehicles, and robotics as simultaneous demand vectors is historically unprecedented, and industry analysts note that capacity expansion cycles for MLCCs typically span multiple years, making near-term relief unlikely.
What's next for the MLCC market
With Goldman Sachs characterising this as the most significant upcycle the MLCC industry has ever seen, all eyes are on leading manufacturers — including Murata Manufacturing, Taiyo Yuden, and peers across Japan, South Korea, and China — to announce capacity investment timelines. Pricing pressure and allocation constraints are likely to persist well into 2027, with AI server OEMs and EV manufacturers most exposed to supply-chain disruption.